TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13100978
Played Sep 9Finished
Kacper Adamus
Home
1.23
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1715111112––––
Boguslaw Madej
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:28 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
1715111112––––
H2H Kacper Adamus 37–14 Boguslaw Madej Boguslaw Madej has won 14 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.23 (74%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
37-14 in 51
Adamus
Correct
gap of 23 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1392 vs Madej 1251
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 40% vs Madej 60%
Madej
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 50% vs Madej 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +1 · Madej +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Madej form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.23 / Madej 3.50
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Adamus)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13100978
Adamus1.23
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 360 of 589
Up 2–0, closes it98% 196 of 201
Up 1–0, closes it79% 287 of 363
Madej3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 41 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus9wins
AwayMadej1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus100%8 of 8
AwayMadejn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus8Madej2n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S2Adamus6Madej4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S3Adamus10Madej0n = 10Adamus took 10 of 10
S4Adamus3Madej2n = 5Adamus took 3 of 5
S5Adamus2Madej1n = 3Adamus took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusMadejA − MBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.032.8+8.2per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusMadejBasisWin rate · lifetime925 / 1716 vs 140 / 38753.9%36.2%925 / 1716 vs 140 / 387Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.23/Madej 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.4%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 7 · 11:30K. Adamus—186119133B. Madej—1611811112
WJul 7 · 07:10K. Adamus—1111123B. Madej—76100
WMay 26 · 17:05K. Adamus—1111123B. Madej—37100
LMay 26 · 08:45K. Adamus—189111172B. Madej—201185113
WMay 19 · 17:05K. Adamus—116116123B. Madej—611811102
WMay 19 · 08:45K. Adamus—1111113B. Madej—7960
WMay 12 · 17:05K. Adamus—1111113B. Madej—6760
WMay 12 · 08:45K. Adamus—11811113B. Madej—611871
WMay 5 · 13:30K. Adamus—1112113B. Madej—81080
WMay 5 · 07:30K. Adamus—91111113B. Madej—116471
K. Adamus10
WSep 9 · 06:45K. Adamus1.60712417113S. Juzek2.151110111572LSep 9 · 05:30K. Adamus1.73911114102W. Urban1.98116911123LSep 8 · 05:05O. Jadach1.911115410113K. Adamus1.80713111292LSep 8 · 03:55K. Adamus1.708670P. Kurek1.911111113WSep 8 · 02:10M. Sikon2.7575130K. Adamus1.361111153LSep 8 · 01:10G. Marud2.001111123K. Adamus1.7278100WSep 7 · 23:50J. Nowak2.70114119112K. Adamus1.37911811133WSep 7 · 23:05M. Sikon2.7599100K. Adamus1.361111123WSep 7 · 21:55K. Adamus1.7011118113P. Kurek2.05651171LSep 7 · 20:45O. Jadach1.8071111113K. Adamus1.85118961
B. Madej10
WSep 9 · 07:30B. Madej2.4471111113W. Buczynski1.45114751LSep 9 · 06:20B. Madej1.857911101M. Rus1.8511116123WSep 2 · 16:40B. Madej3.2013149113M. Adamus1.2811121161LSep 2 · 15:05S. Juzek1.5551112113B. Madej2.301191081WSep 2 · 14:20M. Rus2.201691161B. Madej1.57141113113WSep 2 · 13:30B. Madej2.0581111113W. Buczynski1.65117881LSep 2 · 12:20B. Madej3.251212171R. Gajda1.27141011113LSep 2 · 10:40B. Madej2.8584150M. Adamus1.351111173WSep 2 · 09:05S. Juzek1.3575120B. Madej2.851111143WSep 2 · 08:20R. Gajda1.3591111972B. Madej2.85119911113
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