TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13101389
Played Sep 9Finished
Kacper Adamus
Home
1.21
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119116911711119
Maksymilian Rus
Away
3.70
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:56 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
119116911711119
H2H Kacper Adamus 45–13 Maksymilian Rus Maksymilian Rus has won 13 of their 58 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:56What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.21 (75%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-13 in 58
Adamus
Correct
gap of 32 in 58, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1401 vs Rus 1154
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 247 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 40% vs Rus 80%
Rus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 60% vs Rus 40%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +2 · Rus +4
Rus
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.21 / Rus 3.70
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Adamus)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13101389
Adamus1.21
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 360 of 589
Up 2–0, closes it98% 196 of 201
Up 1–0, closes it79% 287 of 363
Rus3.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 71 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back15% 23 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus10wins
AwayRus0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus100%9 of 9
AwayRusn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus9Rus1n = 10Adamus took 9 of 10
S2Adamus8Rus2n = 10Adamus took 8 of 10
S3Adamus9Rus1n = 10Adamus took 9 of 10
S4Adamus3Rus1n = 4Adamus took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusRusA − RBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match38.024.7+13.3per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusRusBasisWin rate · lifetime926 / 1717 vs 125 / 38953.9%32.1%926 / 1717 vs 125 / 389Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.21/Rus 3.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.8%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 25 · 15:30K. Adamus—1111113M. Rus—8760
WAug 25 · 09:30K. Adamus—81111113M. Rus—115981
WAug 18 · 17:05K. Adamus—1111133M. Rus—45110
WJul 7 · 16:40K. Adamus—11811113M. Rus—311371
WJul 7 · 10:40K. Adamus—118119113M. Rus—31171172
WJun 30 · 15:30K. Adamus—1111113M. Rus—2960
WJun 30 · 09:30K. Adamus—111113113M. Rus—641581
WJun 26 · 24:25K. Adamus—1111113M. Rus—7660
WJun 25 · 20:45K. Adamus—1113113M. Rus—61120
WJun 23 · 15:30K. Adamus—1111113M. Rus—9760
K. Adamus10
WSep 9 · 08:20K. Adamus1.231711113B. Madej3.5015120WSep 9 · 06:45K. Adamus1.60712417113S. Juzek2.151110111572LSep 9 · 05:30K. Adamus1.73911114102W. Urban1.98116911123LSep 8 · 05:05O. Jadach1.911115410113K. Adamus1.80713111292LSep 8 · 03:55K. Adamus1.708670P. Kurek1.911111113WSep 8 · 02:10M. Sikon2.7575130K. Adamus1.361111153LSep 8 · 01:10G. Marud2.001111123K. Adamus1.7278100WSep 7 · 23:50J. Nowak2.70114119112K. Adamus1.37911811133WSep 7 · 23:05M. Sikon2.7599100K. Adamus1.361111123WSep 7 · 21:55K. Adamus1.7011118113P. Kurek2.05651171
M. Rus10
WSep 9 · 08:45M. Rus2.5561111113W. Buczynski1.41118981WSep 9 · 07:10M. Rus2.9011115113W. Urban1.33991181WSep 9 · 06:20B. Madej1.857911101M. Rus1.8511116123WSep 2 · 17:05M. Rus2.701111113W. Buczynski1.377890LSep 2 · 15:30M. Rus3.1510990R. Gajda1.301211113LSep 2 · 14:20M. Rus2.201691161B. Madej1.57141113113LSep 2 · 12:45M. Rus3.703550S. Juzek1.221111113LSep 2 · 11:30M. Rus3.10911661M. Adamus1.3011711113LSep 2 · 10:20S. Juzek1.221111123M. Rus3.7068100LSep 2 · 09:30R. Gajda1.32131189113M. Rus3.10114111152
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