TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13101853
Played Sep 9Finished
Maksymilian Rus
Home
2.70
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11813111210––––
Sebastian Juzek
Away
1.37
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:23 and never touched — 63.4% is still 63.4%
Graded at full timeSebastian Juzek to win
63.4%
63.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
11813111210––––
H2H Maksymilian Rus 3–8 Sebastian Juzek Maksymilian Rus has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Juzek beat Rus 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:23What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (66%)
Juzek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-8 in 11
Juzek
Wrong
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rus 1133 vs Juzek 1340
Juzek
Wrong
both rated, 207 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rus 40% vs Juzek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rus 40% vs Juzek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rus -3 · Juzek -1
Rus
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Juzek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Juzek form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRus 2.70 / Juzek 1.37
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Juzek)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13101853
Rus2.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 71 of 237
Down 0–1, comes back15% 23 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 94
Juzek1.37
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 69 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it98% 39 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it84% 56 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRus3wins
AwayJuzek7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJuzek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRus75%3 of 4
AwayJuzek100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rus4Juzek6n = 10Juzek took 6 of 10
S2Rus0Juzek10n = 10Juzek took 10 of 10
S3Rus4Juzek6n = 10Juzek took 6 of 10
S4Rus2Juzek3n = 5Juzek took 3 of 5
S5Rus2Juzek1n = 3Rus took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricRusJuzekR − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match30.240.7−10.5per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRusJuzekBasisWin rate · lifetime125 / 392 vs 309 / 75231.9%41.1%125 / 392 vs 309 / 752Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JuzekRus 2.70/Juzek 1.37
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.7%
Juzek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 10:20M. Rus—114113132S. Juzek—811911153
LSep 2 · 12:45M. Rus—3550S. Juzek—1111113
LSep 2 · 10:20M. Rus—68100S. Juzek—1111123
LJun 23 · 12:45M. Rus—4660S. Juzek—1111113
WJun 23 · 10:20M. Rus—126126113S. Juzek—1011101182
LMar 3 · 14:30M. Rus—651771S. Juzek—111115113
LMar 3 · 08:30M. Rus—3560S. Juzek—1111113
LDec 9 · 17:20M. Rus—9630S. Juzek—1111113
WDec 9 · 07:45M. Rus—1181013123S. Juzek—9111211102
WDec 2 · 13:20M. Rus—11611113S. Juzek—811981
M. Rus10
LSep 9 · 11:30M. Rus2.9011440W. Urban1.331311113LSep 9 · 10:20S. Juzek1.41811911153M. Rus2.60114113132LSep 9 · 09:30K. Adamus1.21111197113M. Rus3.7096111192WSep 9 · 08:45M. Rus2.5561111113W. Buczynski1.41118981WSep 9 · 07:10M. Rus2.9011115113W. Urban1.33991181WSep 9 · 06:20B. Madej1.857911101M. Rus1.8511116123WSep 2 · 17:05M. Rus2.701111113W. Buczynski1.377890LSep 2 · 15:30M. Rus3.1510990R. Gajda1.301211113LSep 2 · 14:20M. Rus2.201691161B. Madej1.57141113113LSep 2 · 12:45M. Rus3.703550S. Juzek1.221111113
S. Juzek10
LSep 9 · 11:55S. Juzek2.486660K. Adamus1.431111113WSep 9 · 10:20S. Juzek1.41811911153M. Rus2.60114113132WSep 9 · 09:05S. Juzek1.501311123B. Madej2.40117100LSep 9 · 07:55S. Juzek1.80121217672W. Urban1.8514101511113LSep 9 · 06:45K. Adamus1.60712417113S. Juzek2.151110111572WSep 9 · 05:55S. Juzek1.80141112113W. Buczynski1.901241491WSep 8 · 20:00M. Tkocz1.3811712552S. Juzek2.808111011113LSep 8 · 19:10W. Pytlas1.6511811113S. Juzek2.10511881LSep 8 · 18:25S. Juzek2.341112851P. Kaczynski1.4981411113WSep 2 · 12:45M. Rus3.703550S. Juzek1.221111113
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