TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13101856
Played Sep 9Finished
Boguslaw Madej
Home
2.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611114711115911
Witold Buczynski
Away
1.45
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:24 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timeBoguslaw Madej to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
611114711115911
H2H Boguslaw Madej 10–7 Witold Buczynski Witold Buczynski has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Madej beat Buczynski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:24What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (63%)
Buczynski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-7 in 17
Madej
Wrong
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Madej 1251 vs Buczynski 1293
Buczynski
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Madej 40% vs Buczynski 20%
Madej
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Madej 50% vs Buczynski 20%
Madej
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Madej +1 · Buczynski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Buczynski) · live re-read · sealed at 39% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buczynski form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMadej 2.44 / Buczynski 1.45
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Buczynski)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13101856
Madej2.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 41 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Buczynski1.45
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite44% won 41 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it64% 30 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMadej5wins
AwayBuczynski5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMadejn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayBuczynski44.4%4 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Madej1Buczynski9n = 10Buczynski took 9 of 10
S2Madej5Buczynski5n = 10split evenly
S3Madej6Buczynski4n = 10Madej took 6 of 10
S4Madej3Buczynski4n = 7Buczynski took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMadejBuczynskiM − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match35.237.0−1.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMadejBuczynskiBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 390 vs 435 / 112836.2%38.6%141 / 390 vs 435 / 1128Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuczynskiMadej 2.44/Buczynski 1.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.1%
Buczynski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Buczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 07:30B. Madej—71111113W. Buczynski—114751
WSep 2 · 13:30B. Madej—81111113W. Buczynski—117881
LSep 2 · 07:30B. Madej—931141W. Buczynski—11115113
LMay 12 · 11:30B. Madej—510100W. Buczynski—1112123
LMay 12 · 07:10B. Madej—61160W. Buczynski—1113113
LDec 23 · 18:15B. Madej—3380W. Buczynski—1111113
WDec 23 · 09:45B. Madej—5111310113W. Buczynski—117111282
WDec 2 · 18:05B. Madej—711118113W. Buczynski—11471192
LDec 2 · 09:45B. Madej—11910101W. Buczynski—61112123
WNov 26 · 15:20B. Madej—101111123W. Buczynski—1277101
B. Madej10
WSep 9 · 10:40B. Madej2.3511115133W. Urban1.524911111LSep 9 · 09:05S. Juzek1.501311123B. Madej2.40117100LSep 9 · 08:20K. Adamus1.231711113B. Madej3.5015120WSep 9 · 07:30B. Madej2.4471111113W. Buczynski1.45114751LSep 9 · 06:20B. Madej1.857911101M. Rus1.8511116123WSep 2 · 16:40B. Madej3.2013149113M. Adamus1.2811121161LSep 2 · 15:05S. Juzek1.5551112113B. Madej2.301191081WSep 2 · 14:20M. Rus2.201691161B. Madej1.57141113113WSep 2 · 13:30B. Madej2.0581111113W. Buczynski1.65117881LSep 2 · 12:20B. Madej3.251212171R. Gajda1.27141011113
W. Buczynski10
WSep 9 · 11:05K. Adamus1.42111111772W. Buczynski2.55513611113LSep 9 · 09:55W. Buczynski1.85121251132W. Urban1.8010101113113LSep 9 · 08:45M. Rus2.5561111113W. Buczynski1.41118981LSep 9 · 07:30B. Madej2.4471111113W. Buczynski1.45114751LSep 9 · 05:55S. Juzek1.80141112113W. Buczynski1.901241491LSep 8 · 16:40O. Vincenec1.9571111113W. Buczynski1.70114561LSep 8 · 15:55J. Pruszkowski1.401111113W. Buczynski2.758950LSep 8 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.29981111113W. Buczynski3.1011113882LSep 8 · 13:10S. Szostok1.531051111113W. Buczynski2.3612119472LSep 2 · 13:30B. Madej2.0581111113W. Buczynski1.65117881
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