TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13101952
Played Sep 9Finished
Witold Buczynski
Home
2.05
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711119114119––
Wojciech Urban
Away
1.66
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:03 and never touched — 64.3% is still 64.3%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
64.3%
64.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
711119114119––
H2H Witold Buczynski 3–5 Wojciech Urban Witold Buczynski has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Urban beat Buczynski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Urban
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Urban
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buczynski 1320 vs Urban 1434
Urban
Wrong
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buczynski 40% vs Urban 60%
Urban
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buczynski 20% vs Urban 80%
Urban
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Buczynski +2 · Urban +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Urban) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuczynski 2.05 / Urban 1.66
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Urban)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13101952
Buczynski2.05
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 193 of 523
Down 0–1, comes back21% 65 of 307
Down 0–2, comes back5% 9 of 175
Urban1.66
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 180 of 310
Up 2–0, closes it96% 73 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it73% 127 of 173
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeBuczynski3wins
AwayUrban5wins
4 of 8 to a deciderUrban leads 5–3, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuczynski33.3%1 of 3
AwayUrban60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buczynski3Urban5n = 8Urban took 5 of 8
S2Buczynski5Urban3n = 8Buczynski took 5 of 8
S3Buczynski3Urban5n = 8Urban took 5 of 8
S4Buczynski2Urban4n = 6Urban took 4 of 6
S5Buczynski2Urban2n = 4split evenly
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricBuczynskiUrbanB − UBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match40.044.4−4.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuczynskiUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 1130 vs 745 / 157838.7%47.2%437 / 1130 vs 745 / 1578Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanBuczynski 2.05/Urban 1.66
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Buczynski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 9 · 09:55W. Buczynski—121251132W. Urban—10101113113
WJul 28 · 13:05W. Buczynski—911513143W. Urban—1191111122
WJul 28 · 06:55W. Buczynski—511124113W. Urban—117101182
LMay 27 · 08:45W. Buczynski—1211411102W. Urban—149115123
WOct 11 · 16:40W. Buczynski—1113113W. Urban—71170
LOct 11 · 10:40W. Buczynski—1151191W. Urban—13117113
LSep 28 · 15:30W. Buczynski—16760W. Urban—1811113
LSep 28 · 09:30W. Buczynski—1151081W. Urban—71112113
W. Buczynski10
WSep 9 · 12:20B. Madej2.4461171192W. Buczynski1.45114115113WSep 9 · 11:05K. Adamus1.42111111772W. Buczynski2.55513611113LSep 9 · 09:55W. Buczynski1.85121251132W. Urban1.8010101113113LSep 9 · 08:45M. Rus2.5561111113W. Buczynski1.41118981LSep 9 · 07:30B. Madej2.4471111113W. Buczynski1.45114751LSep 9 · 05:55S. Juzek1.80141112113W. Buczynski1.901241491LSep 8 · 16:40O. Vincenec1.9571111113W. Buczynski1.70114561LSep 8 · 15:55J. Pruszkowski1.401111113W. Buczynski2.758950LSep 8 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.29981111113W. Buczynski3.1011113882LSep 8 · 13:10S. Szostok1.531051111113W. Buczynski2.3612119472
W. Urban10
WSep 9 · 11:30M. Rus2.9011440W. Urban1.331311113LSep 9 · 10:40B. Madej2.3511115133W. Urban1.524911111WSep 9 · 09:55W. Buczynski1.85121251132W. Urban1.8010101113113WSep 9 · 07:55S. Juzek1.80121217672W. Urban1.8514101511113LSep 9 · 07:10M. Rus2.9011115113W. Urban1.33991181WSep 9 · 05:30K. Adamus1.73911114102W. Urban1.98116911123WSep 8 · 14:20W. Urban3.4011811133M. Durda1.309117111WSep 8 · 12:40R. Idaczyk1.674930W. Urban2.101111113WSep 8 · 11:50P. Brozek1.838680W. Urban1.831111113WSep 8 · 11:00W. Urban2.25158126123P. Gumulinski1.5713111011102
Upcoming Matches
W. Buczynski
W. Urban
Sep 9 · 15:55W. Urban2.20K. Adamus1.57—Sep 9 · 16:40W. Urban1.36B. Madej2.75—Sep 10 · 03:20W. Urban1.83R. Idaczyk1.83—Sep 10 · 04:40W. Urban1.57M. Sikon2.25—Sep 10 · 06:10W. Urban2.10L. Oracz1.67—Sep 10 · 07:20W. Urban2.63K. Slawinski1.44—Sep 10 · 08:35W. Urban2.00P. Kurek1.73—Sep 10 · 09:25W. Urban1.83R. Idaczyk1.83—Sep 10 · 11:00W. Urban1.57M. Sikon2.25—Sep 10 · 12:15W. Urban2.00P. Kurek1.73—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.