TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13106589
Played Sep 10Finished
Kacper Adamus
Home
2.02
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111012117911––
Krzysztof Hetnar
Away
1.65
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:43 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Hetnar to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
9111012117911––
H2H Kacper Adamus 19–41 Krzysztof Hetnar Kacper Adamus has won 19 of their 60 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:43What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (55%)
Hetnar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-41 in 60
Hetnar
Correct
gap of 22 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1421 vs Hetnar 1465
Hetnar
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 60% vs Hetnar 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 70% vs Hetnar 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +1 · Hetnar +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Hetnar) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 2.02 / Hetnar 1.65
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Hetnar)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13106589
Adamus2.02
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog48% won 114 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back23% 26 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 60
Hetnar1.65
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite69% won 263 of 384
Up 2–0, closes it98% 145 of 148
Up 1–0, closes it85% 214 of 251
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus5wins
AwayHetnar5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus100%5 of 5
AwayHetnar100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus5Hetnar5n = 10split evenly
S2Adamus5Hetnar5n = 10split evenly
S3Adamus1Hetnar9n = 10Hetnar took 9 of 10
S4Adamus4Hetnar2n = 6Adamus took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusHetnarA − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.638.9−3.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusHetnarBasisWin rate · lifetime933 / 1727 vs 724 / 117754%61.5%933 / 1727 vs 724 / 1177Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarAdamus 2.02/Hetnar 1.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hetnar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 02:00K. Adamus—12129113K. Hetnar—10101191
LSep 3 · 16:25K. Adamus—14750K. Hetnar—1611113
LJul 22 · 15:55K. Adamus—5990K. Hetnar—1111113
WJul 22 · 09:55K. Adamus—1114113K. Hetnar—51280
WJul 9 · 20:45K. Adamus—11114113K. Hetnar—851191
WJul 8 · 13:55K. Adamus—126711113K. Hetnar—101111972
LJul 8 · 07:55K. Adamus—71070K. Hetnar—1112113
LJun 30 · 13:10K. Adamus—12113101K. Hetnar—14811123
LJun 30 · 05:30K. Adamus—611941K. Hetnar—11711113
WJun 24 · 15:30K. Adamus—1161015113K. Hetnar—911121382
K. Adamus10
WSep 10 · 11:05K. Adamus1.851111113O. Jadach1.858790WSep 10 · 08:20K. Adamus1.511212113J. Pelka2.28101050LSep 10 · 06:45K. Adamus1.52128111192W. Glanowski2.35141179113WSep 10 · 05:30K. Adamus1.50111011133K. Jablonski2.317125111WSep 9 · 17:05M. Rus3.85510100K. Adamus1.191112123LSep 9 · 15:55K. Adamus1.67511881W. Urban2.1011511113WSep 9 · 14:45W. Buczynski2.601031181K. Adamus1.4112115113WSep 9 · 13:30B. Madej3.20115131182K. Adamus1.305111113113WSep 9 · 11:55S. Juzek2.486660K. Adamus1.431111113LSep 9 · 11:05K. Adamus1.42111111772W. Buczynski2.55513611113
K. Hetnar10
WSep 10 · 11:30K. Hetnar1.6011116113K. Jablonski2.15941161WSep 10 · 10:20W. Glanowski2.95341151K. Hetnar1.3111118113WSep 10 · 08:45K. Hetnar1.83111110113O. Jadach1.87771231LSep 10 · 07:10K. Hetnar1.49118831K. Jablonski2.4581111113WSep 10 · 06:20J. Pelka2.45117761K. Hetnar1.4761111113LSep 8 · 08:00K. Hetnar1.804770R. Skotniczny1.911111113WSep 8 · 06:45K. Hetnar1.3011118113A. Ruszkiewicz3.00641181WSep 8 · 05:35K. Hetnar1.441112123M. Adamus2.50410100WSep 8 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek3.20116821K. Hetnar1.2791111113WSep 8 · 03:35K. Hetnar1.141111113M. Cesarz4.509640
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