TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13106085
Played Sep 10Finished
Krzysztof Hetnar
Home
1.49
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118811811311––
Karol Jablonski
Away
2.45
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Jablonski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
118811811311––
H2H Krzysztof Hetnar 2–4 Karol Jablonski Krzysztof Hetnar has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:04What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.49 (62%)
Hetnar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Jablonski
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hetnar 1451 vs Jablonski 1375
Hetnar
Wrong
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hetnar 80% vs Jablonski 60%
Hetnar
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hetnar 80% vs Jablonski 50%
Hetnar
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hetnar -1 · Jablonski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Hetnar) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jablonski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (41%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHetnar 1.49 / Jablonski 2.45
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Hetnar)-1.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13106085
Hetnar1.49
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 263 of 384
Up 2–0, closes it98% 145 of 148
Up 1–0, closes it85% 214 of 251
Jablonski2.45
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 30 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back27% 12 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeHetnar2wins
AwayJablonski4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderJablonski leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHetnar25%1 of 4
AwayJablonskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hetnar4Jablonski2n = 6Hetnar took 4 of 6
S2Hetnar3Jablonski3n = 6split evenly
S3Hetnar2Jablonski4n = 6Jablonski took 4 of 6
S4Hetnar2Jablonski2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricHetnarJablonskiH − JBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match34.836.5−1.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHetnarJablonskiBasisWin rate · lifetime723 / 1176 vs 68 / 14861.5%46%723 / 1176 vs 68 / 148Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarHetnar 1.49/Jablonski 2.45
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jablonski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 10 · 07:10K. Hetnar—118831K. Jablonski—81111113
WFeb 26 · 14:30K. Hetnar—71111113K. Jablonski—116741
LFeb 26 · 08:30K. Hetnar—11581462K. Jablonski—8111112113
WJul 9 · 04:25K. Hetnar—1211113K. Jablonski—10940
LJun 29 · 16:50K. Hetnar—11116572K. Jablonski—441111113
LJun 10 · 08:20K. Hetnar—6960K. Jablonski—1111113
K. Hetnar10
WSep 10 · 08:45K. Hetnar1.83111110113O. Jadach1.87771231LSep 8 · 08:00K. Hetnar1.804770R. Skotniczny1.911111113WSep 8 · 06:45K. Hetnar1.3011118113A. Ruszkiewicz3.00641181WSep 8 · 05:35K. Hetnar1.441112123M. Adamus2.50410100WSep 8 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek3.20116821K. Hetnar1.2791111113WSep 8 · 03:35K. Hetnar1.141111113M. Cesarz4.509640WSep 7 · 14:20K. Hetnar1.53119911113R. Niemiec2.3871111982WSep 7 · 12:40W. Urban2.50815581K. Hetnar1.50111311113WSep 7 · 11:50J. Kaczmarek4.008550K. Hetnar1.221111113WSep 7 · 11:00K. Hetnar1.531311112113P. Przewlocki2.38111381192
K. Jablonski10
WSep 10 · 07:55W. Glanowski1.801114731K. Jablonski1.8551611113LSep 10 · 05:30K. Adamus1.50111011133K. Jablonski2.317125111LAug 14 · 16:40K. Jablonski6.706817101P. Polok1.06111115123WAug 14 · 15:05M. Adamus3.00611111182K. Jablonski1.33111355113WAug 14 · 14:20O. Sokolowski2.358111281K. Jablonski1.5211414113WAug 14 · 13:30K. Jablonski2.35611911113J. Kaczmarek1.5011611982WAug 14 · 12:20K. Jablonski3.651111116113W. Tobiasz1.2361371182LAug 14 · 10:40K. Jablonski4.307119121P. Polok1.2011911143LAug 14 · 09:05M. Adamus1.864111111123K. Jablonski1.80116913102LAug 14 · 08:20W. Tobiasz1.8311129143K. Jablonski1.8671011121
Upcoming Matches
K. Hetnar
Sep 10 · 06:20K. Hetnar1.47J. Pelka2.45—Sep 10 · 09:30K. Hetnar1.65K. Adamus2.02—Sep 10 · 10:20K. Hetnar1.31W. Glanowski2.95—Sep 10 · 11:30K. Hetnar1.41K. Jablonski2.55—Sep 10 · 12:45K. Hetnar1.34W. Glanowski2.85—Sep 10 · 14:20K. Hetnar1.42J. Pelka2.55—Sep 10 · 15:30K. Hetnar1.70K. Adamus1.96—Sep 10 · 17:05K. Hetnar1.86O. Jadach1.77—
K. Jablonski
Sep 10 · 09:55K. Jablonski2.00O. Jadach1.70—Sep 10 · 10:40K. Jablonski1.81J. Pelka1.83—Sep 10 · 11:30K. Jablonski2.55K. Hetnar1.41—Sep 10 · 13:10K. Jablonski2.31K. Adamus1.50—Sep 10 · 13:55K. Jablonski1.66W. Glanowski2.00—Sep 10 · 15:55K. Jablonski2.60O. Jadach1.40—Sep 10 · 16:40K. Jablonski1.81J. Pelka1.83—
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