TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12433968
Played Aug 14Finished
Karol Jablonski
Home
2.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611116911119118
Jakub Kaczmarek
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:47 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeJakub Kaczmarek to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
611116911119118
H2H Karol Jablonski 4–4 Jakub Kaczmarek Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:47What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (61%)
Kaczmarek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jablonski 1339 vs Kaczmarek 1311
Jablonski
Correct
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jablonski 40% vs Kaczmarek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jablonski 40% vs Kaczmarek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jablonski +1 · Kaczmarek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kaczmarek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaczmarek form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJablonski 2.35 / Kaczmarek 1.50
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Kaczmarek)-5.5pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #12433968
Jablonski2.35
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 31 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back26% 12 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 24
Kaczmarek1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 76 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it91% 40 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it81% 61 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeJablonski4wins
AwayKaczmarek4wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJablonskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKaczmarek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jablonski2Kaczmarek6n = 8Kaczmarek took 6 of 8
S2Jablonski5Kaczmarek3n = 8Jablonski took 5 of 8
S3Jablonski4Kaczmarek4n = 8split evenly
S4Jablonski5Kaczmarek3n = 8Jablonski took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricJablonskiKaczmarekJ − KBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match40.038.4+1.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJablonskiKaczmarekBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 151 vs 470 / 129144.4%36.4%67 / 151 vs 470 / 1291Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.435.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaczmarekJablonski 2.35/Kaczmarek 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.5%
Kaczmarek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jablonski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 14 · 07:30K. Jablonski—11118113J. Kaczmarek—651131
LAug 21 · 13:20K. Jablonski—711881J. Kaczmarek—11911113
WAug 21 · 05:30K. Jablonski—1111511113J. Kaczmarek—13711882
LJul 8 · 16:50K. Jablonski—9711101J. Kaczmarek—11115123
WJun 29 · 20:20K. Jablonski—11811113J. Kaczmarek—611991
WJun 10 · 06:00K. Jablonski—101111113J. Kaczmarek—129781
LJun 5 · 07:35K. Jablonski—991141J. Kaczmarek—11113113
LMar 25 · 06:55K. Jablonski—91161152J. Kaczmarek—116118113
K. Jablonski10
LSep 10 · 05:30K. Adamus1.50111011133K. Jablonski2.317125111LAug 14 · 16:40K. Jablonski6.706817101P. Polok1.06111115123WAug 14 · 15:05M. Adamus3.00611111182K. Jablonski1.33111355113WAug 14 · 14:20O. Sokolowski2.358111281K. Jablonski1.5211414113WAug 14 · 12:20K. Jablonski3.651111116113W. Tobiasz1.2361371182LAug 14 · 10:40K. Jablonski4.307119121P. Polok1.2011911143LAug 14 · 09:05M. Adamus1.864111111123K. Jablonski1.80116913102LAug 14 · 08:20W. Tobiasz1.8311129143K. Jablonski1.8671011121WAug 14 · 07:30K. Jablonski1.8511118113J. Kaczmarek1.85651131LAug 14 · 06:20K. Jablonski2.1586100O. Sokolowski1.601111123
J. Kaczmarek10
WSep 10 · 05:50J. Kaczmarek2.1411712153O. Sokolowski1.5871110131LSep 10 · 04:20M. Lebek1.311114113J. Kaczmarek3.0091240WSep 10 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek1.911111113A. Burkacki1.738850LSep 9 · 08:00J. Kaczmarek1.831111981M. Sikon1.8391311113WSep 9 · 06:45J. Kaczmarek2.10511711113M. Adamus1.6711811692LSep 9 · 05:35J. Kaczmarek2.103670M. Paszkiewicz1.601111113LSep 9 · 04:25M. Lebek1.321111113J. Kaczmarek2.906590WSep 9 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek2.1411811113O. Sokolowski1.58911871WSep 8 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek1.45111211113M. Cesarz2.45714971LAug 14 · 07:30K. Jablonski1.8511118113J. Kaczmarek1.85651131
Upcoming Matches
K. Jablonski
Sep 10 · 07:10K. Jablonski2.45K. Hetnar1.49—Sep 10 · 07:55K. Jablonski1.66W. Glanowski2.00—Sep 10 · 09:55K. Jablonski2.60O. Jadach1.40—Sep 10 · 10:40K. Jablonski1.81J. Pelka1.83—Sep 10 · 11:30K. Jablonski2.55K. Hetnar1.41—Sep 10 · 13:10K. Jablonski2.31K. Adamus1.50—Sep 10 · 13:55K. Jablonski1.66W. Glanowski2.00—Sep 10 · 15:55K. Jablonski2.60O. Jadach1.40—Sep 10 · 16:40K. Jablonski1.81J. Pelka1.83—
J. Kaczmarek
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