TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12433958
Played Aug 14Finished
Mariusz Adamus
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111113115115811
Karol Jablonski
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:41 and never touched — 68.1% is still 68.1%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
68.1%
68.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
92 points played in total.
Set by set
6111113115115811
H2H Mariusz Adamus 5–1 Karol Jablonski Karol Jablonski has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:41What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (69%)
Jablonski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1302 vs Jablonski 1359
Jablonski
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 20% vs Jablonski 60%
Jablonski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 40% vs Jablonski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -4 · Jablonski +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Jablonski) · live re-read · sealed at 32% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jablonski form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 3.00 / Jablonski 1.33
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Jablonski)-3.0pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #12433958
Adamus3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 168 of 397
Down 0–1, comes back24% 49 of 204
Down 0–2, comes back11% 12 of 107
Jablonski1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 14 of 23
Up 2–0, closes it78% 7 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it79% 11 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeAdamus5wins
AwayJablonski1wins
3 of 6 to a deciderAdamus leads 5–1, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus80%4 of 5
AwayJablonskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus5Jablonski1n = 6Adamus took 5 of 6
S2Adamus4Jablonski2n = 6Adamus took 4 of 6
S3Adamus5Jablonski1n = 6Adamus took 5 of 6
S4Adamus1Jablonski2n = 3Jablonski took 2 of 3
S5Adamus2Jablonski1n = 3Adamus took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home350%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricAdamusJablonskiA − JBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match41.835.2+6.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusJablonskiBasisWin rate · lifetime774 / 1609 vs 69 / 15348.1%45.1%774 / 1609 vs 69 / 153Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JablonskiAdamus 3.00/Jablonski 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Jablonski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Jablonski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 14 · 09:05M. Adamus—4111111123K. Jablonski—116913102
WJul 8 · 17:10M. Adamus—1111113K. Jablonski—7680
WJul 5 · 03:35M. Adamus—117118113K. Jablonski—91191182
WJul 3 · 18:00M. Adamus—1411113K. Jablonski—12670
LMar 25 · 15:45M. Adamus—119101192K. Jablonski—711124113
WMar 25 · 12:05M. Adamus—1111133K. Jablonski—57110
M. Adamus10
WSep 9 · 08:20M. Adamus1.8811119113M. Paszkiewicz1.82971181LSep 9 · 06:45J. Kaczmarek2.10511711113M. Adamus1.6711811692LSep 9 · 06:00M. Lebek1.701112113M. Adamus1.9581090WSep 9 · 05:10M. Adamus1.8311611123O. Sokolowski1.866114101LSep 9 · 04:00M. Adamus1.57971191M. Sikon2.1611116113WSep 9 · 02:20M. Adamus1.851111113M. Paszkiewicz1.854940WSep 9 · 24:45M. Tkocz1.41118871M. Adamus2.5581111113LSep 9 · 24:00M. Sikon2.20111211113M. Adamus1.58714891LSep 8 · 23:10M. Adamus1.8088111152O. Sokolowski1.86111155113WSep 8 · 22:00M. Adamus2.43116711113M. Lebek1.4591111662
K. Jablonski10
LSep 10 · 05:30K. Adamus1.50111011133K. Jablonski2.317125111LAug 14 · 16:40K. Jablonski6.706817101P. Polok1.06111115123WAug 14 · 14:20O. Sokolowski2.358111281K. Jablonski1.5211414113WAug 14 · 13:30K. Jablonski2.35611911113J. Kaczmarek1.5011611982WAug 14 · 12:20K. Jablonski3.651111116113W. Tobiasz1.2361371182LAug 14 · 10:40K. Jablonski4.307119121P. Polok1.2011911143LAug 14 · 09:05M. Adamus1.864111111123K. Jablonski1.80116913102LAug 14 · 08:20W. Tobiasz1.8311129143K. Jablonski1.8671011121WAug 14 · 07:30K. Jablonski1.8511118113J. Kaczmarek1.85651131LAug 14 · 06:20K. Jablonski2.1586100O. Sokolowski1.601111123
Upcoming Matches
M. Adamus
Nothing scheduled
K. Jablonski
Sep 10 · 07:10K. Jablonski2.45K. Hetnar1.49—Sep 10 · 07:55K. Jablonski1.66W. Glanowski2.00—Sep 10 · 09:55K. Jablonski2.60O. Jadach1.40—Sep 10 · 10:40K. Jablonski1.81J. Pelka1.83—Sep 10 · 11:30K. Jablonski2.55K. Hetnar1.41—Sep 10 · 13:10K. Jablonski2.31K. Adamus1.50—Sep 10 · 13:55K. Jablonski1.66W. Glanowski2.00—Sep 10 · 15:55K. Jablonski2.60O. Jadach1.40—Sep 10 · 16:40K. Jablonski1.81J. Pelka1.83—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.