TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12432107
Played Aug 14Finished
Wojciech Tobiasz
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11712109111412––
Karol Jablonski
Away
1.86
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWojciech Tobiasz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
11712109111412––
H2H Wojciech Tobiasz 5–3 Karol Jablonski Karol Jablonski has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:31What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Tobiasz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Tobiasz
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tobiasz 1403 vs Jablonski 1352
Tobiasz
Correct
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tobiasz 60% vs Jablonski 40%
Tobiasz
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tobiasz 80% vs Jablonski 50%
Tobiasz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tobiasz +1 · Jablonski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tobiasz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jablonski form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTobiasz 1.83 / Jablonski 1.86
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Tobiasz)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #12432107
Tobiasz1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite50% won 64 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it69% 50 of 72
Jablonski1.86
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 31 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back26% 12 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeTobiasz5wins
AwayJablonski3wins
4 of 8 to a deciderTobiasz leads 5–3, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTobiaszn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayJablonski40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tobiasz2Jablonski5n = 7Jablonski took 5 of 7
S2Tobiasz4Jablonski3n = 7Tobiasz took 4 of 7
S3Tobiasz4Jablonski3n = 7Tobiasz took 4 of 7
S4Tobiasz4Jablonski2n = 6Tobiasz took 4 of 6
S5Tobiasz2Jablonski2n = 4split evenly
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricTobiaszJablonskiT − JBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match42.440.6+1.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTobiaszJablonskiBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 772 vs 66 / 14745.5%44.9%351 / 772 vs 66 / 147Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TobiaszTobiasz 1.83/Jablonski 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Tobiasz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tobiasz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 10 · 15:55W. Tobiasz—11138113K. Jablonski—7111151
WAug 10 · 09:55W. Tobiasz—921211113K. Jablonski—111110542
LApr 3 · 15:55W. Tobiasz—1211101152K. Jablonski—149126113
LApr 3 · 09:55W. Tobiasz—9890K. Jablonski—1111113
LAug 21 · 08:20W. Tobiasz—117118112K. Jablonski—911711133
WMar 25 · 14:30W. Tobiasz—41111113K. Jablonski—117971
WMar 25 · 08:30W. Tobiasz—911117113K. Jablonski—11351192
W. Tobiasz10
LSep 7 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.4581211113W. Tobiasz2.551110731LSep 7 · 15:55S. Szostok1.509111111113W. Tobiasz2.4011981342LSep 7 · 13:55Y. Fomin1.70111167123W. Tobiasz2.00381111102LSep 7 · 13:10G. Wichowski1.291511113W. Tobiasz3.3013990LSep 7 · 11:30P. Mecik1.9571111113W. Tobiasz1.75115851LSep 7 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.25411911113W. Tobiasz3.5011711532LSep 7 · 09:55S. Szostok1.50681111113W. Tobiasz2.3611119582WSep 7 · 07:55Y. Fomin1.8561111692W. Tobiasz1.85110711113WSep 7 · 07:10P. Mecik2.0511871132W. Tobiasz1.68611114113LSep 7 · 05:30G. Wichowski1.3513115113W. Tobiasz2.851171121
K. Jablonski10
LSep 10 · 05:30K. Adamus1.50111011133K. Jablonski2.317125111LAug 14 · 16:40K. Jablonski6.706817101P. Polok1.06111115123WAug 14 · 15:05M. Adamus3.00611111182K. Jablonski1.33111355113WAug 14 · 14:20O. Sokolowski2.358111281K. Jablonski1.5211414113WAug 14 · 13:30K. Jablonski2.35611911113J. Kaczmarek1.5011611982WAug 14 · 12:20K. Jablonski3.651111116113W. Tobiasz1.2361371182LAug 14 · 10:40K. Jablonski4.307119121P. Polok1.2011911143LAug 14 · 09:05M. Adamus1.864111111123K. Jablonski1.80116913102WAug 14 · 07:30K. Jablonski1.8511118113J. Kaczmarek1.85651131LAug 14 · 06:20K. Jablonski2.1586100O. Sokolowski1.601111123
Upcoming Matches
W. Tobiasz
Nothing scheduled
K. Jablonski
Sep 10 · 07:10K. Jablonski2.45K. Hetnar1.49—Sep 10 · 07:55K. Jablonski1.66W. Glanowski2.00—Sep 10 · 09:55K. Jablonski2.60O. Jadach1.40—Sep 10 · 10:40K. Jablonski1.81J. Pelka1.83—Sep 10 · 11:30K. Jablonski2.55K. Hetnar1.41—Sep 10 · 13:10K. Jablonski2.31K. Adamus1.50—Sep 10 · 13:55K. Jablonski1.66W. Glanowski2.00—Sep 10 · 15:55K. Jablonski2.60O. Jadach1.40—Sep 10 · 16:40K. Jablonski1.81J. Pelka1.83—
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