TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12423442
Played Aug 14Finished
Karol Jablonski
Home
2.15
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8116111012––––
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Jablonski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
58 points played in total.
Set by set
8116111012––––
H2H Karol Jablonski 1–1 Oliwier Sokolowski Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:07What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Sokolowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Jablonski 1362 vs Sokolowski 1355
Jablonski
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jablonski 60% vs Sokolowski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jablonski 60% vs Sokolowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jablonski +1 · Sokolowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sokolowski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jablonski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJablonski 2.15 / Sokolowski 1.60
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Sokolowski)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12423442
Jablonski2.15
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 33 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back26% 13 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back15% 4 of 27
Sokolowski1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 56 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it93% 25 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it77% 39 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeJablonski1wins
AwaySokolowski1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricJablonskiSokolowskiJ − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match32.036.5−4.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJablonskiSokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 155 vs 173 / 42045.2%41.2%70 / 155 vs 173 / 420Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.535.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiJablonski 2.15/Sokolowski 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.3%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 14 · 14:20K. Jablonski—11414113O. Sokolowski—8111281
LAug 14 · 06:20K. Jablonski—86100O. Sokolowski—1111123
K. Jablonski10
LSep 10 · 05:30K. Adamus1.50111011133K. Jablonski2.317125111LAug 14 · 16:40K. Jablonski6.706817101P. Polok1.06111115123WAug 14 · 15:05M. Adamus3.00611111182K. Jablonski1.33111355113WAug 14 · 14:20O. Sokolowski2.358111281K. Jablonski1.5211414113WAug 14 · 13:30K. Jablonski2.35611911113J. Kaczmarek1.5011611982WAug 14 · 12:20K. Jablonski3.651111116113W. Tobiasz1.2361371182LAug 14 · 10:40K. Jablonski4.307119121P. Polok1.2011911143LAug 14 · 09:05M. Adamus1.864111111123K. Jablonski1.80116913102LAug 14 · 08:20W. Tobiasz1.8311129143K. Jablonski1.8671011121WAug 14 · 07:30K. Jablonski1.8511118113J. Kaczmarek1.85651131
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 10 · 05:50J. Kaczmarek2.1411712153O. Sokolowski1.5871110131LSep 10 · 04:40P. Slosarczyk2.06119157113O. Sokolowski1.63811131172LSep 10 · 03:10M. Lebek1.521111113O. Sokolowski2.303990LSep 10 · 02:20P. Adamus1.65111012113O. Sokolowski2.104121071WSep 10 · 01:35A. Burkacki1.95711971O. Sokolowski1.7511911113LSep 9 · 23:35M. Baron1.83111111123O. Sokolowski1.868913101WSep 9 · 22:50M. Lebek1.529590O. Sokolowski2.301111113WSep 9 · 21:10P. Slosarczyk2.0641090O. Sokolowski1.631112113WSep 9 · 08:45M. Lebek1.45117691O. Sokolowski2.4371111113LAug 14 · 14:20O. Sokolowski2.358111281K. Jablonski1.5211414113
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O. Sokolowski
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