TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12432851
Played Aug 14Finished
Karol Jablonski
Home
3.65
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161113117611118
Wojciech Tobiasz
Away
1.23
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:10 and never touched — 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeWojciech Tobiasz to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
1161113117611118
H2H Karol Jablonski 3–6 Wojciech Tobiasz Karol Jablonski has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:10What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.23 (75%)
Tobiasz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-6 in 9
Tobiasz
Wrong
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jablonski 1326 vs Tobiasz 1428
Tobiasz
Wrong
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jablonski 20% vs Tobiasz 80%
Tobiasz
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jablonski 40% vs Tobiasz 80%
Tobiasz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jablonski -3 · Tobiasz +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Tobiasz) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJablonski 3.65 / Tobiasz 1.23
Signal prob.15% / 85%
Edge (Tobiasz)+10.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12432851
Jablonski3.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 31 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back26% 12 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 24
Tobiasz1.23
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 64 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it69% 50 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeJablonski3wins
AwayTobiasz6wins
4 of 9 to a deciderTobiasz leads 6–3, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJablonski40%2 of 5
AwayTobiasz66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jablonski5Tobiasz3n = 8Jablonski took 5 of 8
S2Jablonski3Tobiasz5n = 8Tobiasz took 5 of 8
S3Jablonski4Tobiasz4n = 8split evenly
S4Jablonski2Tobiasz5n = 7Tobiasz took 5 of 7
S5Jablonski2Tobiasz2n = 4split evenly
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away444%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricJablonskiTobiaszJ − TBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match40.542.9−2.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJablonskiTobiaszBasisWin rate · lifetime66 / 150 vs 354 / 77544%45.7%66 / 150 vs 354 / 775Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TobiaszJablonski 3.65/Tobiasz 1.23
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
84.8%
Tobiasz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jablonski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 14 · 08:20K. Jablonski—71011121W. Tobiasz—11129143
LAug 10 · 15:55K. Jablonski—7111151W. Tobiasz—11138113
LAug 10 · 09:55K. Jablonski—111110542W. Tobiasz—921211113
WApr 3 · 15:55K. Jablonski—149126113W. Tobiasz—1211101152
WApr 3 · 09:55K. Jablonski—1111113W. Tobiasz—9890
WAug 21 · 08:20K. Jablonski—911711133W. Tobiasz—117118112
LMar 25 · 14:30K. Jablonski—117971W. Tobiasz—41111113
LMar 25 · 08:30K. Jablonski—11351192W. Tobiasz—911117113
K. Jablonski10
LSep 10 · 05:30K. Adamus1.50111011133K. Jablonski2.317125111LAug 14 · 16:40K. Jablonski6.706817101P. Polok1.06111115123WAug 14 · 15:05M. Adamus3.00611111182K. Jablonski1.33111355113WAug 14 · 14:20O. Sokolowski2.358111281K. Jablonski1.5211414113WAug 14 · 13:30K. Jablonski2.35611911113J. Kaczmarek1.5011611982LAug 14 · 10:40K. Jablonski4.307119121P. Polok1.2011911143LAug 14 · 09:05M. Adamus1.864111111123K. Jablonski1.80116913102LAug 14 · 08:20W. Tobiasz1.8311129143K. Jablonski1.8671011121WAug 14 · 07:30K. Jablonski1.8511118113J. Kaczmarek1.85651131LAug 14 · 06:20K. Jablonski2.1586100O. Sokolowski1.601111123
W. Tobiasz10
LSep 7 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.4581211113W. Tobiasz2.551110731LSep 7 · 15:55S. Szostok1.509111111113W. Tobiasz2.4011981342LSep 7 · 13:55Y. Fomin1.70111167123W. Tobiasz2.00381111102LSep 7 · 13:10G. Wichowski1.291511113W. Tobiasz3.3013990LSep 7 · 11:30P. Mecik1.9571111113W. Tobiasz1.75115851LSep 7 · 10:40R. Skotniczny1.25411911113W. Tobiasz3.5011711532LSep 7 · 09:55S. Szostok1.50681111113W. Tobiasz2.3611119582WSep 7 · 07:55Y. Fomin1.8561111692W. Tobiasz1.85110711113WSep 7 · 07:10P. Mecik2.0511871132W. Tobiasz1.68611114113WAug 14 · 08:20W. Tobiasz1.8311129143K. Jablonski1.8671011121
Upcoming Matches
K. Jablonski
Sep 10 · 07:10K. Jablonski2.45K. Hetnar1.49—Sep 10 · 07:55K. Jablonski1.66W. Glanowski2.00—Sep 10 · 09:55K. Jablonski2.60O. Jadach1.40—Sep 10 · 10:40K. Jablonski1.81J. Pelka1.83—Sep 10 · 11:30K. Jablonski2.55K. Hetnar1.41—Sep 10 · 13:10K. Jablonski2.31K. Adamus1.50—Sep 10 · 13:55K. Jablonski1.66W. Glanowski2.00—Sep 10 · 15:55K. Jablonski2.60O. Jadach1.40—Sep 10 · 16:40K. Jablonski1.81J. Pelka1.83—
W. Tobiasz
Nothing scheduled
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