TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12430990
Played Aug 14Finished
Karol Jablonski
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116115811113––
Jakub Kaczmarek
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:51 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Jablonski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
116115811113––
H2H Karol Jablonski 5–4 Jakub Kaczmarek Jakub Kaczmarek has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:51What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Kaczmarek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jablonski 1362 vs Kaczmarek 1276
Jablonski
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jablonski 40% vs Kaczmarek 60%
Kaczmarek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jablonski 50% vs Kaczmarek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jablonski -1 · Kaczmarek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jablonski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jablonski form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJablonski 1.85 / Kaczmarek 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jablonski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12430990
Jablonski1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Kaczmarek1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeJablonski5wins
AwayKaczmarek4wins
3 of 9 to a deciderJablonski leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJablonskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKaczmarek57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jablonski2Kaczmarek7n = 9Kaczmarek took 7 of 9
S2Jablonski6Kaczmarek3n = 9Jablonski took 6 of 9
S3Jablonski4Kaczmarek5n = 9Kaczmarek took 5 of 9
S4Jablonski6Kaczmarek3n = 9Jablonski took 6 of 9
S5Jablonski2Kaczmarek1n = 3Jablonski took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricJablonskiKaczmarekJ − KBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match40.939.1+1.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJablonskiKaczmarekBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 155 vs 470 / 129545.2%36.3%70 / 155 vs 470 / 1295Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.535.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JablonskiJablonski 1.85/Kaczmarek 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jablonski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jablonski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 14 · 13:30K. Jablonski—611911113J. Kaczmarek—11611982
WAug 14 · 07:30K. Jablonski—11118113J. Kaczmarek—651131
LAug 21 · 13:20K. Jablonski—711881J. Kaczmarek—11911113
WAug 21 · 05:30K. Jablonski—1111511113J. Kaczmarek—13711882
LJul 8 · 16:50K. Jablonski—9711101J. Kaczmarek—11115123
WJun 29 · 20:20K. Jablonski—11811113J. Kaczmarek—611991
WJun 10 · 06:00K. Jablonski—101111113J. Kaczmarek—129781
LJun 5 · 07:35K. Jablonski—991141J. Kaczmarek—11113113
LMar 25 · 06:55K. Jablonski—91161152J. Kaczmarek—116118113
K. Jablonski10
LSep 10 · 05:30K. Adamus1.50111011133K. Jablonski2.317125111LAug 14 · 16:40K. Jablonski6.706817101P. Polok1.06111115123WAug 14 · 15:05M. Adamus3.00611111182K. Jablonski1.33111355113WAug 14 · 14:20O. Sokolowski2.358111281K. Jablonski1.5211414113WAug 14 · 13:30K. Jablonski2.35611911113J. Kaczmarek1.5011611982WAug 14 · 12:20K. Jablonski3.651111116113W. Tobiasz1.2361371182LAug 14 · 10:40K. Jablonski4.307119121P. Polok1.2011911143LAug 14 · 09:05M. Adamus1.864111111123K. Jablonski1.80116913102LAug 14 · 08:20W. Tobiasz1.8311129143K. Jablonski1.8671011121LAug 14 · 06:20K. Jablonski2.1586100O. Sokolowski1.601111123
J. Kaczmarek10
WSep 10 · 05:50J. Kaczmarek2.1411712153O. Sokolowski1.5871110131LSep 10 · 04:20M. Lebek1.311114113J. Kaczmarek3.0091240WSep 10 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek1.911111113A. Burkacki1.738850LSep 9 · 08:00J. Kaczmarek1.831111981M. Sikon1.8391311113WSep 9 · 06:45J. Kaczmarek2.10511711113M. Adamus1.6711811692LSep 9 · 05:35J. Kaczmarek2.103670M. Paszkiewicz1.601111113LSep 9 · 04:25M. Lebek1.321111113J. Kaczmarek2.906590WSep 9 · 03:35J. Kaczmarek2.1411811113O. Sokolowski1.58911871WSep 8 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek1.45111211113M. Cesarz2.45714971LAug 14 · 13:30K. Jablonski2.35611911113J. Kaczmarek1.5011611982
Upcoming Matches
K. Jablonski
Sep 10 · 07:10K. Jablonski2.45K. Hetnar1.49—Sep 10 · 07:55K. Jablonski1.66W. Glanowski2.00—Sep 10 · 09:55K. Jablonski2.60O. Jadach1.40—Sep 10 · 10:40K. Jablonski1.81J. Pelka1.83—Sep 10 · 11:30K. Jablonski2.55K. Hetnar1.41—Sep 10 · 13:10K. Jablonski2.31K. Adamus1.50—Sep 10 · 13:55K. Jablonski1.66W. Glanowski2.00—Sep 10 · 15:55K. Jablonski2.60O. Jadach1.40—Sep 10 · 16:40K. Jablonski1.81J. Pelka1.83—
J. Kaczmarek
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