TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12432862
Played Aug 14Finished
Karol Jablonski
Home
4.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111199111214––
Pawel Polok
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 85.2% is still 85.2%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
85.2%
85.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
7111199111214––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:12What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Polok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Jablonski 1332 vs Polok 1517
Polok
Correct
both rated, 185 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jablonski 40% vs Polok 80%
Polok
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jablonski 50% vs Polok 80%
Polok
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jablonski -2 · Polok +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 85% — Strong (leans Polok)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jablonski form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJablonski 4.30 / Polok 1.20
Signal prob.15% / 85%
Edge (Polok)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12432862
Jablonski4.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 31 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back26% 12 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back17% 4 of 24
Polok1.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 23 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it86% 18 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricJablonskiPolokBasisWin rate · lifetime66 / 149 vs 46 / 6444.3%71.9%66 / 149 vs 46 / 64Avg sets wonper match1.92.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
PolokJablonski 4.30/Polok 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.2%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Polok won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Jablonski10
LSep 10 · 05:30K. Adamus1.50111011133K. Jablonski2.317125111LAug 14 · 16:40K. Jablonski6.706817101P. Polok1.06111115123WAug 14 · 15:05M. Adamus3.00611111182K. Jablonski1.33111355113WAug 14 · 14:20O. Sokolowski2.358111281K. Jablonski1.5211414113WAug 14 · 13:30K. Jablonski2.35611911113J. Kaczmarek1.5011611982WAug 14 · 12:20K. Jablonski3.651111116113W. Tobiasz1.2361371182LAug 14 · 09:05M. Adamus1.864111111123K. Jablonski1.80116913102LAug 14 · 08:20W. Tobiasz1.8311129143K. Jablonski1.8671011121WAug 14 · 07:30K. Jablonski1.8511118113J. Kaczmarek1.85651131LAug 14 · 06:20K. Jablonski2.1586100O. Sokolowski1.601111123
P. Polok10
WSep 6 · 04:40A. Szurgot4.802460P. Polok1.131111113LSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 01:55R. Szymik1.689111381P. Polok2.0711615113WSep 6 · 01:10R. Wiza3.6610760P. Polok1.241211113LSep 5 · 23:30L. Bernacki2.40111011173P. Polok1.503124151WSep 5 · 22:40A. Szurgot4.503139111P. Polok1.17111111133WSep 5 · 21:55R. Adach3.154330P. Polok1.291111113WSep 5 · 19:55R. Szymik1.9512970P. Polok1.751411113WSep 5 · 19:10L. Bernacki2.196860P. Polok1.581111113WAug 14 · 16:40K. Jablonski6.706817101P. Polok1.06111115123
Upcoming Matches
K. Jablonski
Sep 10 · 07:10K. Jablonski2.45K. Hetnar1.49—Sep 10 · 07:55K. Jablonski1.66W. Glanowski2.00—Sep 10 · 09:55K. Jablonski2.60O. Jadach1.40—Sep 10 · 10:40K. Jablonski1.81J. Pelka1.83—Sep 10 · 11:30K. Jablonski2.55K. Hetnar1.41—Sep 10 · 13:10K. Jablonski2.31K. Adamus1.50—Sep 10 · 13:55K. Jablonski1.66W. Glanowski2.00—Sep 10 · 15:55K. Jablonski2.60O. Jadach1.40—Sep 10 · 16:40K. Jablonski1.81J. Pelka1.83—
P. Polok
Nothing scheduled
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