TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13102560
Played Sep 9Finished
Kacper Adamus
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511115811811––
Wojciech Urban
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:21 and never touched — 69.6% is still 69.6%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
69.6%
69.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
511115811811––
H2H Kacper Adamus 7–17 Wojciech Urban Kacper Adamus has won 7 of their 24 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:21What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-17 in 24
Urban
Correct
gap of 10 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1424 vs Urban 1436
Urban
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 80% vs Urban 60%
Adamus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 60% vs Urban 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +3 · Urban +1
Adamus
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 30% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.67 / Urban 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Adamus)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13102560
Adamus1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 360 of 589
Up 2–0, closes it98% 196 of 201
Up 1–0, closes it79% 287 of 363
Urban2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 225 of 557
Down 0–1, comes back20% 60 of 307
Down 0–2, comes back6% 12 of 188
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus5wins
AwayUrban5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus100%4 of 4
AwayUrban83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus4Urban6n = 10Urban took 6 of 10
S2Adamus4Urban6n = 10Urban took 6 of 10
S3Adamus5Urban5n = 10split evenly
S4Adamus3Urban1n = 4Adamus took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusUrbanA − UBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.632.5+2.1per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime930 / 1722 vs 746 / 158054%47.2%930 / 1722 vs 746 / 1580Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.67/Urban 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 05:30K. Adamus—911114102W. Urban—116911123
LAug 29 · 06:00K. Adamus—91070W. Urban—1112113
LAug 10 · 23:50K. Adamus—9590W. Urban—1111113
WAug 10 · 17:55K. Adamus—51111113W. Urban—119941
WAug 3 · 23:55K. Adamus—111111113W. Urban—913851
WAug 3 · 17:55K. Adamus—119911113W. Urban—61111572
WJul 23 · 18:00K. Adamus—1111113W. Urban—4740
LJul 3 · 01:10K. Adamus—81090W. Urban—1112113
LMay 22 · 02:00K. Adamus—10790W. Urban—1211113
WMay 10 · 07:35K. Adamus—1111113W. Urban—7380
K. Adamus10
WSep 9 · 14:45W. Buczynski2.601031181K. Adamus1.4112115113WSep 9 · 13:30B. Madej3.20115131182K. Adamus1.305111113113WSep 9 · 11:55S. Juzek2.486660K. Adamus1.431111113LSep 9 · 11:05K. Adamus1.42111111772W. Buczynski2.55513611113WSep 9 · 09:30K. Adamus1.21111197113M. Rus3.7096111192WSep 9 · 08:20K. Adamus1.231711113B. Madej3.5015120WSep 9 · 06:45K. Adamus1.60712417113S. Juzek2.151110111572LSep 9 · 05:30K. Adamus1.73911114102W. Urban1.98116911123LSep 8 · 05:05O. Jadach1.911115410113K. Adamus1.80713111292LSep 8 · 03:55K. Adamus1.708670P. Kurek1.911111113
W. Urban10
WSep 9 · 13:55S. Juzek1.941311571W. Urban1.71111311113LSep 9 · 13:10W. Buczynski2.0571111113W. Urban1.66119491WSep 9 · 11:30M. Rus2.9011440W. Urban1.331311113LSep 9 · 10:40B. Madej2.3511115133W. Urban1.524911111WSep 9 · 09:55W. Buczynski1.85121251132W. Urban1.8010101113113WSep 9 · 07:55S. Juzek1.80121217672W. Urban1.8514101511113LSep 9 · 07:10M. Rus2.9011115113W. Urban1.33991181WSep 9 · 05:30K. Adamus1.73911114102W. Urban1.98116911123WSep 8 · 14:20W. Urban3.4011811133M. Durda1.309117111WSep 8 · 12:40R. Idaczyk1.674930W. Urban2.101111113
Upcoming Matches
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