TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13102805
Played Sep 10Finished
Jerzy Pelka
Home
2.45
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116711711611––
Krzysztof Hetnar
Away
1.47
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:27 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Hetnar to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
116711711611––
H2H Jerzy Pelka 11–21 Krzysztof Hetnar Jerzy Pelka has won 11 of their 32 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:27What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Hetnar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-21 in 32
Hetnar
Correct
gap of 10 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pelka 1341 vs Hetnar 1498
Hetnar
Correct
both rated, 157 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pelka 40% vs Hetnar 80%
Hetnar
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pelka 30% vs Hetnar 80%
Hetnar
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pelka -1 · Hetnar -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Hetnar) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hetnar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPelka 2.45 / Hetnar 1.47
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Hetnar)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13102805
Pelka2.45
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 79 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Hetnar1.47
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 263 of 384
Up 2–0, closes it98% 145 of 148
Up 1–0, closes it85% 214 of 251
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePelka5wins
AwayHetnar5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePelkan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHetnar50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pelka2Hetnar8n = 10Hetnar took 8 of 10
S2Pelka6Hetnar4n = 10Pelka took 6 of 10
S3Pelka5Hetnar5n = 10split evenly
S4Pelka2Hetnar6n = 8Hetnar took 6 of 8
S5Pelka3Hetnar0n = 3Pelka took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPelkaHetnarP − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.239.1−2.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPelkaHetnarBasisWin rate · lifetime424 / 914 vs 728 / 118146.4%61.6%424 / 914 vs 728 / 1181Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarPelka 2.45/Hetnar 1.47
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hetnar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 06:20J. Pelka—117761K. Hetnar—61111113
WMay 27 · 13:30J. Pelka—711139113K. Hetnar—116111172
LMay 27 · 07:30J. Pelka—4111061K. Hetnar—11912113
LMay 21 · 15:55J. Pelka—312981K. Hetnar—111011113
WMay 21 · 09:55J. Pelka—611116113K. Hetnar—11861172
WMay 5 · 11:30J. Pelka—91111113K. Hetnar—116971
WMay 5 · 07:10J. Pelka—1110119113K. Hetnar—71281142
LApr 30 · 13:55J. Pelka—3440K. Hetnar—1111113
WApr 30 · 07:55J. Pelka—111211113K. Hetnar—1310491
LMar 13 · 13:45J. Pelka—8770K. Hetnar—1111113
J. Pelka10
WSep 10 · 10:40J. Pelka1.83117117113K. Jablonski1.8191171152WSep 10 · 09:05W. Glanowski2.0341161592J. Pelka1.651141113113LSep 10 · 08:20K. Adamus1.511212113J. Pelka2.28101050WSep 10 · 07:30J. Pelka2.651111113O. Jadach1.387550LAug 31 · 16:20J. Pelka2.755640G. Wichowski1.401111113WAug 31 · 15:05J. Pelka1.851111113P. Mecik1.853850LAug 31 · 13:55J. Pelka2.001224101M. Baron1.71101111123LAug 31 · 12:45O. Jadach1.46851111113J. Pelka2.5011116692WAug 31 · 11:55J. Pelka1.60911129113W. Buczynski2.15115101152LAug 31 · 10:20J. Pelka2.509850O. Jadach1.441111113
K. Hetnar10
WSep 10 · 11:30K. Hetnar1.6011116113K. Jablonski2.15941161WSep 10 · 10:20W. Glanowski2.95341151K. Hetnar1.3111118113WSep 10 · 09:30K. Adamus2.029101191K. Hetnar1.6511127113WSep 10 · 08:45K. Hetnar1.83111110113O. Jadach1.87771231LSep 10 · 07:10K. Hetnar1.49118831K. Jablonski2.4581111113LSep 8 · 08:00K. Hetnar1.804770R. Skotniczny1.911111113WSep 8 · 06:45K. Hetnar1.3011118113A. Ruszkiewicz3.00641181WSep 8 · 05:35K. Hetnar1.441112123M. Adamus2.50410100WSep 8 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek3.20116821K. Hetnar1.2791111113WSep 8 · 03:35K. Hetnar1.141111113M. Cesarz4.509640
Upcoming Matches
J. Pelka
Sep 10 · 12:20J. Pelka2.36K. Adamus1.48—Sep 10 · 13:30J. Pelka2.65O. Jadach1.38—Sep 10 · 14:20J. Pelka2.55K. Hetnar1.42—Sep 10 · 15:05J. Pelka1.65W. Glanowski2.03—Sep 10 · 16:40J. Pelka1.83K. Jablonski1.81—Sep 11 · 03:50J. Pelka2.20Z. Sobkow1.61—Sep 11 · 04:55J. Pelka1.67O. Sokolowski2.10—Sep 11 · 05:40J. Pelka2.63O. Jadach1.44—Sep 11 · 06:30J. Pelka2.00M. Baron1.73—Sep 11 · 08:10J. Pelka1.53P. Slosarczyk2.38—
K. Hetnar
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