TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13107734
Played Sep 10Finished
Krzysztof Hetnar
Home
1.42
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711811––––
Jerzy Pelka
Away
2.55
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:03 and never touched — 63.6% is still 63.6%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Hetnar to win
63.6%
63.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
911711811––––
H2H Krzysztof Hetnar 21–11 Jerzy Pelka Jerzy Pelka has won 11 of their 32 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Hetnar beat Pelka 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:03What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.42 (64%)
Hetnar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-11 in 32
Hetnar
Wrong
gap of 10 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hetnar 1502 vs Pelka 1347
Hetnar
Wrong
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hetnar 100% vs Pelka 60%
Hetnar
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hetnar 80% vs Pelka 50%
Hetnar
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hetnar +5 · Pelka -1
Hetnar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Hetnar) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pelka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (39%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHetnar 1.42 / Pelka 2.55
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Hetnar)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13107734
Hetnar1.42
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 263 of 384
Up 2–0, closes it98% 145 of 148
Up 1–0, closes it85% 214 of 251
Pelka2.55
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 79 of 179
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHetnar5wins
AwayPelka5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHetnar50%4 of 8
AwayPelkan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hetnar8Pelka2n = 10Hetnar took 8 of 10
S2Hetnar4Pelka6n = 10Pelka took 6 of 10
S3Hetnar5Pelka5n = 10split evenly
S4Hetnar6Pelka2n = 8Hetnar took 6 of 8
S5Hetnar0Pelka3n = 3Pelka took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHetnarPelkaH − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.136.2+2.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHetnarPelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime729 / 1182 vs 424 / 91461.7%46.4%729 / 1182 vs 424 / 914Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarHetnar 1.42/Pelka 2.55
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.2%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pelka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 06:20K. Hetnar—61111113J. Pelka—117761
LMay 27 · 13:30K. Hetnar—116111172J. Pelka—711139113
WMay 27 · 07:30K. Hetnar—11912113J. Pelka—4111061
WMay 21 · 15:55K. Hetnar—111011113J. Pelka—312981
LMay 21 · 09:55K. Hetnar—11861172J. Pelka—611116113
LMay 5 · 11:30K. Hetnar—116971J. Pelka—91111113
LMay 5 · 07:10K. Hetnar—71281142J. Pelka—1110119113
WApr 30 · 13:55K. Hetnar—1111113J. Pelka—3440
LApr 30 · 07:55K. Hetnar—1310491J. Pelka—111211113
WMar 13 · 13:45K. Hetnar—1111113J. Pelka—8770
K. Hetnar10
WSep 10 · 12:45K. Hetnar1.34771111113W. Glanowski2.8511113652WSep 10 · 11:30K. Hetnar1.6011116113K. Jablonski2.15941161WSep 10 · 10:20W. Glanowski2.95341151K. Hetnar1.3111118113WSep 10 · 09:30K. Adamus2.029101191K. Hetnar1.6511127113WSep 10 · 08:45K. Hetnar1.83111110113O. Jadach1.87771231LSep 10 · 07:10K. Hetnar1.49118831K. Jablonski2.4581111113WSep 10 · 06:20J. Pelka2.45117761K. Hetnar1.4761111113LSep 8 · 08:00K. Hetnar1.804770R. Skotniczny1.911111113WSep 8 · 06:45K. Hetnar1.3011118113A. Ruszkiewicz3.00641181WSep 8 · 05:35K. Hetnar1.441112123M. Adamus2.50410100
J. Pelka10
LSep 10 · 13:30J. Pelka2.65131112892O. Jadach1.381171411113WSep 10 · 12:20J. Pelka2.36111212113K. Adamus1.487141041WSep 10 · 10:40J. Pelka1.83117117113K. Jablonski1.8191171152WSep 10 · 09:05W. Glanowski2.0341161592J. Pelka1.651141113113LSep 10 · 08:20K. Adamus1.511212113J. Pelka2.28101050WSep 10 · 07:30J. Pelka2.651111113O. Jadach1.387550LSep 10 · 06:20J. Pelka2.45117761K. Hetnar1.4761111113LAug 31 · 16:20J. Pelka2.755640G. Wichowski1.401111113WAug 31 · 15:05J. Pelka1.851111113P. Mecik1.853850LAug 31 · 13:55J. Pelka2.001224101M. Baron1.71101111123
Upcoming Matches
K. Hetnar
J. Pelka
Sep 10 · 15:05J. Pelka1.65W. Glanowski2.03—Sep 10 · 16:40J. Pelka1.83K. Jablonski1.81—Sep 11 · 03:50J. Pelka2.20Z. Sobkow1.61—Sep 11 · 04:55J. Pelka1.67O. Sokolowski2.10—Sep 11 · 05:40J. Pelka2.63O. Jadach1.44—Sep 11 · 06:30J. Pelka2.00M. Baron1.73—Sep 11 · 08:10J. Pelka1.53P. Slosarczyk2.38—Sep 11 · 09:50J. Pelka2.63O. Jadach1.44—Sep 11 · 12:40J. Pelka2.00M. Baron1.73—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.