TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13107620
Played Sep 10Finished
Krzysztof Hetnar
Home
1.34
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711711113116115
Waldemar Glanowski
Away
2.85
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:33 and never touched — 77.3% is still 77.3%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Hetnar to win
77.3%
77.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
711711113116115
H2H Krzysztof Hetnar 10–3 Waldemar Glanowski Waldemar Glanowski has won 3 of their 13 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Hetnar beat Glanowski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.34 (68%)
Hetnar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-3 in 13
Hetnar
Correct
gap of 7 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hetnar 1498 vs Glanowski 1223
Hetnar
Correct
both rated, 275 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hetnar 80% vs Glanowski 20%
Hetnar
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hetnar 80% vs Glanowski 10%
Hetnar
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hetnar +4 · Glanowski -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Hetnar) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Glanowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (35%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHetnar 1.34 / Glanowski 2.85
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Hetnar)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13107620
Hetnar1.34
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 263 of 384
Up 2–0, closes it98% 145 of 148
Up 1–0, closes it85% 214 of 251
Glanowski2.85
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 79 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back14% 17 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 70
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHetnar7wins
AwayGlanowski3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHetnar leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHetnar77.8%7 of 9
AwayGlanowskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hetnar9Glanowski1n = 10Hetnar took 9 of 10
S2Hetnar6Glanowski4n = 10Hetnar took 6 of 10
S3Hetnar7Glanowski3n = 10Hetnar took 7 of 10
S4Hetnar3Glanowski3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHetnarGlanowskiH − GBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match36.927.6+9.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHetnarGlanowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime728 / 1181 vs 398 / 74061.6%53.8%728 / 1181 vs 398 / 740Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarHetnar 1.34/Glanowski 2.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.4%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hetnar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 10:20K. Hetnar—11118113W. Glanowski—341151
WJul 16 · 16:40K. Hetnar—1111113W. Glanowski—4970
LJul 16 · 09:05K. Hetnar—781191W. Glanowski—11118113
WMay 21 · 11:30K. Hetnar—1111113W. Glanowski—4660
WMay 21 · 07:10K. Hetnar—11811113W. Glanowski—711651
WApr 30 · 11:30K. Hetnar—11811113W. Glanowski—711741
LApr 30 · 07:10K. Hetnar—116951W. Glanowski—41111113
WApr 16 · 13:55K. Hetnar—1111113W. Glanowski—4920
LApr 16 · 07:55K. Hetnar—11118962W. Glanowski—381111113
WMar 19 · 16:30K. Hetnar—1114113W. Glanowski—31270
K. Hetnar10
WSep 10 · 11:30K. Hetnar1.6011116113K. Jablonski2.15941161WSep 10 · 10:20W. Glanowski2.95341151K. Hetnar1.3111118113WSep 10 · 09:30K. Adamus2.029101191K. Hetnar1.6511127113WSep 10 · 08:45K. Hetnar1.83111110113O. Jadach1.87771231LSep 10 · 07:10K. Hetnar1.49118831K. Jablonski2.4581111113WSep 10 · 06:20J. Pelka2.45117761K. Hetnar1.4761111113LSep 8 · 08:00K. Hetnar1.804770R. Skotniczny1.911111113WSep 8 · 06:45K. Hetnar1.3011118113A. Ruszkiewicz3.00641181WSep 8 · 05:35K. Hetnar1.441112123M. Adamus2.50410100WSep 8 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek3.20116821K. Hetnar1.2791111113
W. Glanowski10
LSep 10 · 11:55W. Glanowski2.9511812101O. Jadach1.3291114123LSep 10 · 10:20W. Glanowski2.95341151K. Hetnar1.3111118113LSep 10 · 09:05W. Glanowski2.0341161592J. Pelka1.651141113113LSep 10 · 07:55W. Glanowski1.801114731K. Jablonski1.8551611113WSep 10 · 06:45K. Adamus1.52128111192W. Glanowski2.35141179113LSep 10 · 05:55W. Glanowski3.0064100O. Jadach1.311111123LSep 3 · 16:20W. Glanowski2.80116771O. Jadach1.3761111113LSep 3 · 15:05W. Glanowski3.40131170R. Skotniczny1.251513113LSep 3 · 13:55W. Glanowski1.80712101182P. Slosarczyk1.911110128113LSep 3 · 12:45K. Slawinski1.2911613113W. Glanowski3.208111181
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