TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13071916
Played Sep 3Finished
Waldemar Glanowski
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
13151113711––––
Rafal Skotniczny
Away
1.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:11 and never touched — 76.3% is still 76.3%
Graded at full timeRafal Skotniczny to win
76.3%
76.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
13151113711––––
H2H Waldemar Glanowski 10–11 Rafal Skotniczny Waldemar Glanowski has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:11What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (73%)
Skotniczny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-11 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glanowski 1264 vs Skotniczny 1464
Skotniczny
Correct
both rated, 201 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glanowski 0% vs Skotniczny 40%
Skotniczny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glanowski 20% vs Skotniczny 50%
Skotniczny
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Glanowski -5 · Skotniczny -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Skotniczny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skotniczny form (40%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlanowski 3.40 / Skotniczny 1.25
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Skotniczny)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13071916
Glanowski3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog33% won 80 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back14% 17 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 67
Skotniczny1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 207 of 328
Up 2–0, closes it96% 108 of 113
Up 1–0, closes it83% 159 of 191
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGlanowski4wins
AwaySkotniczny6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSkotniczny leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlanowski80%4 of 5
AwaySkotniczny100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glanowski5Skotniczny5n = 10split evenly
S2Glanowski5Skotniczny5n = 10split evenly
S3Glanowski2Skotniczny8n = 10Skotniczny took 8 of 10
S4Glanowski2Skotniczny3n = 5Skotniczny took 3 of 5
S5Glanowski2Skotniczny1n = 3Glanowski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricGlanowskiSkotnicznyG − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match32.336.8−4.5per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlanowskiSkotnicznyBasisWin rate · lifetime415 / 751 vs 572 / 99855.3%57.3%415 / 751 vs 572 / 998Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicznyGlanowski 3.40/Skotniczny 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.3%
Skotniczny · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skotniczny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 06:20W. Glanowski—1115123R. Skotniczny—713100
LAug 27 · 11:30W. Glanowski—911281R. Skotniczny—11911113
LAug 27 · 07:10W. Glanowski—9760R. Skotniczny—1111113
LAug 6 · 15:05W. Glanowski—7750R. Skotniczny—1111113
WAug 6 · 09:05W. Glanowski—111154113R. Skotniczny—78111172
LJul 9 · 11:55W. Glanowski—811841R. Skotniczny—11511113
LJul 9 · 05:55W. Glanowski—116101162R. Skotniczny—811127113
WJun 11 · 12:45W. Glanowski—116611113R. Skotniczny—91111762
LJun 11 · 10:20W. Glanowski—8650R. Skotniczny—1111113
WMay 14 · 16:40W. Glanowski—1111113R. Skotniczny—8590
W. Glanowski10
LSep 10 · 05:55W. Glanowski3.0064100O. Jadach1.311111123LSep 3 · 16:20W. Glanowski2.80116771O. Jadach1.3761111113LSep 3 · 13:55W. Glanowski1.80712101182P. Slosarczyk1.911110128113LSep 3 · 12:45K. Slawinski1.2911613113W. Glanowski3.208111181LSep 3 · 11:55W. Glanowski2.42612531P. Polok1.48111011113LSep 3 · 10:20K. Slawinski1.26113512113W. Glanowski3.35811111082LSep 3 · 09:30O. Jadach1.3311114133W. Glanowski3.208411111LSep 3 · 08:45W. Glanowski2.55741171P. Polok1.4311119113LSep 3 · 07:10W. Glanowski1.788111091P. Slosarczyk1.9011712113WSep 3 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.35713100W. Glanowski2.901115123
R. Skotniczny10
WSep 8 · 08:00K. Hetnar1.804770R. Skotniczny1.911111113WSep 8 · 07:10J. Kaczmarek2.70159441R. Skotniczny1.37131111113WSep 8 · 06:25R. Skotniczny1.1981111113M. Cesarz3.80116541WSep 8 · 04:50R. Skotniczny1.57111111113M. Adamus2.16913461LSep 8 · 04:00A. Ruszkiewicz2.451111123R. Skotniczny1.4737100WSep 7 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.4581211113W. Tobiasz2.551110731WSep 7 · 15:05Y. Fomin2.401110911102R. Skotniczny1.50612116123WSep 7 · 14:20P. Mecik3.30711581R. Skotniczny1.2711811113LSep 7 · 13:30R. Skotniczny1.716690S. Szostok2.001111113LSep 3 · 06:20R. Skotniczny1.35713100W. Glanowski2.901115123
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