TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13107993
Played Sep 10Finished
Waldemar Glanowski
Home
2.03
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119911118118––
Jerzy Pelka
Away
1.65
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:04 and never touched — 66.2% is still 66.2%
Graded at full timeJerzy Pelka to win
66.2%
66.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
119911118118––
H2H Waldemar Glanowski 6–11 Jerzy Pelka Waldemar Glanowski has won 6 of their 17 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Pelka beat Glanowski 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:04What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (55%)
Pelka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-11 in 17
Pelka
Wrong
gap of 5 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glanowski 1240 vs Pelka 1367
Pelka
Wrong
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glanowski 20% vs Pelka 80%
Pelka
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glanowski 20% vs Pelka 60%
Pelka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Glanowski +1 · Pelka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Pelka) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pelka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlanowski 2.03 / Pelka 1.65
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Pelka)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13107993
Glanowski2.03
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 79 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back14% 17 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 70
Pelka1.65
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite49% won 95 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it88% 45 of 51
Up 1–0, closes it64% 66 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGlanowski3wins
AwayPelka7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPelka leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlanowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPelka75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glanowski2Pelka8n = 10Pelka took 8 of 10
S2Glanowski8Pelka2n = 10Glanowski took 8 of 10
S3Glanowski4Pelka6n = 10Pelka took 6 of 10
S4Glanowski3Pelka6n = 9Pelka took 6 of 9
S5Glanowski1Pelka2n = 3Pelka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricGlanowskiPelkaG − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.439.2−1.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlanowskiPelkaBasisWin rate · lifetime399 / 742 vs 424 / 91353.8%46.4%399 / 742 vs 424 / 913Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PelkaGlanowski 2.03/Pelka 1.65
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.8%
Pelka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Glanowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 09:05W. Glanowski—41161592J. Pelka—1141113113
WAug 20 · 13:55W. Glanowski—511116113J. Pelka—11651182
LAug 20 · 07:55W. Glanowski—611991J. Pelka—11911113
WJul 30 · 14:20W. Glanowski—61113113J. Pelka—1151171
LJul 30 · 06:20W. Glanowski—911731J. Pelka—11611113
LJul 9 · 12:45W. Glanowski—11691152J. Pelka—511116113
LJul 9 · 10:20W. Glanowski—8101181J. Pelka—11127113
WJun 18 · 16:40W. Glanowski—1111113J. Pelka—7860
LJun 18 · 10:40W. Glanowski—71111101J. Pelka—11513123
LMay 21 · 17:05W. Glanowski—711821J. Pelka—11611113
W. Glanowski10
LSep 10 · 16:20W. Glanowski2.6041080K. Adamus1.411112113WSep 10 · 13:55W. Glanowski2.001111113K. Jablonski1.666970LSep 10 · 12:45K. Hetnar1.34771111113W. Glanowski2.8511113652LSep 10 · 11:55W. Glanowski2.9511812101O. Jadach1.3291114123LSep 10 · 10:20W. Glanowski2.95341151K. Hetnar1.3111118113LSep 10 · 09:05W. Glanowski2.0341161592J. Pelka1.651141113113LSep 10 · 07:55W. Glanowski1.801114731K. Jablonski1.8551611113WSep 10 · 06:45K. Adamus1.52128111192W. Glanowski2.35141179113LSep 10 · 05:55W. Glanowski3.0064100O. Jadach1.311111123LSep 3 · 16:20W. Glanowski2.80116771O. Jadach1.3761111113
J. Pelka10
LSep 10 · 16:40J. Pelka1.8311191172K. Jablonski1.81119116113WSep 10 · 14:20K. Hetnar1.429780J. Pelka2.551111113LSep 10 · 13:30J. Pelka2.65131112892O. Jadach1.381171411113WSep 10 · 12:20J. Pelka2.36111212113K. Adamus1.487141041WSep 10 · 10:40J. Pelka1.83117117113K. Jablonski1.8191171152WSep 10 · 09:05W. Glanowski2.0341161592J. Pelka1.651141113113LSep 10 · 08:20K. Adamus1.511212113J. Pelka2.28101050WSep 10 · 07:30J. Pelka2.651111113O. Jadach1.387550LSep 10 · 06:20J. Pelka2.45117761K. Hetnar1.4761111113LAug 31 · 16:20J. Pelka2.755640G. Wichowski1.401111113
Upcoming Matches
W. Glanowski
Nothing scheduled
J. Pelka
Sep 11 · 03:50J. Pelka2.20Z. Sobkow1.61—Sep 11 · 04:55J. Pelka1.67O. Sokolowski2.10—Sep 11 · 05:40J. Pelka2.50O. Jadach1.50—Sep 11 · 06:30J. Pelka2.00M. Baron1.73—Sep 11 · 08:10J. Pelka1.53P. Slosarczyk2.38—Sep 11 · 09:50J. Pelka2.50O. Jadach1.50—Sep 11 · 12:40J. Pelka2.00M. Baron1.73—Sep 11 · 14:20J. Pelka1.53P. Slosarczyk2.38—
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