TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109821
Played Sep 11Finished
Marian Lebek
Home
1.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117611311711––
Kamil Durak
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKamil Durak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
117611311711––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:52What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Durak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Lebek 1419 vs Durak 1528
Durak
Correct
both rated, 109 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lebek 40% vs Durak 80%
Durak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebek 70% vs Durak 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebek -1 · Durak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Durak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Durak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebek 1.90 / Durak 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Durak)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13109821
Lebek1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog52% won 106 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back28% 26 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back11% 5 of 46
Durak1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite72% won 34 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebekDurakBasisWin rate · lifetime849 / 1460 vs 47 / 6758.2%70.2%849 / 1460 vs 47 / 67Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
DurakLebek 1.90/Durak 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Durak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Durak won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Lebek10
LSep 10 · 22:25M. Lebek1.9013101131M. Tkocz1.76111213113WSep 10 · 21:10M. Lebek—1111113R. Komandzik—5380LSep 10 · 08:45M. Lebek1.358950A. Burkacki2.801111113LSep 10 · 07:10M. Lebek1.356111011102P. Slosarczyk2.75119127123WSep 10 · 06:10M. Lebek1.71111177113P. Adamus2.0048111192WSep 10 · 04:20M. Lebek1.311114113J. Kaczmarek3.0091240WSep 10 · 03:10M. Lebek1.521111113O. Sokolowski2.303990WSep 10 · 02:00M. Baron2.208950M. Lebek1.571111113WSep 10 · 01:10P. Slosarczyk2.903680M. Lebek1.331111113WSep 10 · 24:25M. Lebek1.35111148113A. Burkacki2.8057111172
K. Durak10
WSep 10 · 23:10K. Durak1.6011711123J. Nowak2.207114101LSep 10 · 22:00K. Durak1.77912781P. Brozek1.93111011113WSep 10 · 20:20K. Durak1.8011116123M. Tkocz1.907611101WSep 10 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.9181070K. Durak1.741112113WSep 10 · 18:00P. Brozek2.178111110122K. Durak1.56119912143LSep 10 · 17:10K. Durak1.8181111101P. Zemla1.8311139123WSep 10 · 16:00K. Durak2.80111176113P. Gasiorski1.3788111152LAug 26 · 02:10K. Durak1.738970J. Pruszkowski2.001111113WAug 26 · 24:35J. Nowak2.50741181K. Durak1.5011119113WAug 25 · 23:45P. Slosarczyk4.0081480K. Durak1.221116113
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