TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109464
Played Sep 10Finished
Kamil Durak
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1177111141210––
Jakub Nowak
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:37 and never touched — 58.3% is still 58.3%
Graded at full timeKamil Durak to win
58.3%
58.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
1177111141210––
H2H Kamil Durak 1–0 Jakub Nowak Jakub Nowak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:37What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (58%)
Durak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Durak 1523 vs Nowak 1284
Durak
Correct
both rated, 239 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Durak 60% vs Nowak 20%
Durak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Durak 70% vs Nowak 30%
Durak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Durak -1 · Nowak -4
Nowak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Durak) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nowak form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDurak 1.60 / Nowak 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Durak)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13109464
Durak1.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite72% won 34 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Nowak2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 248 of 686
Down 0–1, comes back21% 88 of 412
Down 0–2, comes back8% 20 of 241
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDurak1wins
AwayNowak0wins
Durak leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDurakNowakD − NBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.030.0+12.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDurakNowakBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 66 vs 668 / 173069.7%38.6%46 / 66 vs 668 / 1730Avg sets wonper match2.41.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DurakDurak 1.60/Nowak 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.7%
Durak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Durak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 26 · 24:35K. Durak—11119113J. Nowak—741181
K. Durak10
LSep 10 · 22:00K. Durak1.77912781P. Brozek1.93111011113WSep 10 · 20:20K. Durak1.8011116123M. Tkocz1.907611101WSep 10 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.9181070K. Durak1.741112113WSep 10 · 18:00P. Brozek2.178111110122K. Durak1.56119912143LSep 10 · 17:10K. Durak1.8181111101P. Zemla1.8311139123WSep 10 · 16:00K. Durak2.80111176113P. Gasiorski1.3788111152LAug 26 · 02:10K. Durak1.738970J. Pruszkowski2.001111113WAug 26 · 24:35J. Nowak2.50741181K. Durak1.5011119113WAug 25 · 23:45P. Slosarczyk4.0081480K. Durak1.221116113WAug 25 · 22:55K. Durak2.20116913123P. Brozek1.612111111102
J. Nowak10
LSep 10 · 21:35M. Tkocz1.341112113J. Nowak2.8581090LSep 9 · 02:35L. Oracz1.671111123J. Nowak2.1058100LSep 9 · 01:25J. Nowak2.201341011142P. Adamus1.611111129163LSep 9 · 24:10G. Marud1.911111113J. Nowak1.804880WSep 8 · 22:55G. Jurowicz1.801111119102J. Nowak1.91613811123WSep 8 · 21:20M. Koczyba1.36931113112J. Nowak3.001111411133LSep 8 · 20:30G. Marud1.671111113J. Nowak2.108950LSep 8 · 19:20J. Nowak2.20981191P. Adamus1.6111119113LSep 8 · 18:10L. Oracz1.57811118113J. Nowak2.2511851162LAug 26 · 24:35J. Nowak2.50741181K. Durak1.5011119113
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