TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13108540
Played Sep 10Finished
Kamil Durak
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171166111210––
Marek Tkocz
Away
1.90
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:13 and never touched — 57.2% is still 57.2%
Graded at full timeKamil Durak to win
57.2%
57.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
1171166111210––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:13What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Durak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Durak 1532 vs Tkocz 1368
Durak
Correct
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Durak 60% vs Tkocz 20%
Durak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Durak 70% vs Tkocz 20%
Durak
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Durak +2 · Tkocz -4
Tkocz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Durak) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkocz form (20%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDurak 1.80 / Tkocz 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Durak)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13108540
Durak1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite72% won 34 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Tkocz1.90
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 21 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 33
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricDurakTkoczBasisWin rate · lifetime45 / 64 vs 763 / 114770.3%66.5%45 / 64 vs 763 / 1147Avg sets wonper match2.42.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
DurakDurak 1.80/Tkocz 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.2%
Durak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Durak won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Durak10
WSep 10 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.9181070K. Durak1.741112113WSep 10 · 18:00P. Brozek2.178111110122K. Durak1.56119912143LSep 10 · 17:10K. Durak1.8181111101P. Zemla1.8311139123WSep 10 · 16:00K. Durak2.80111176113P. Gasiorski1.3788111152LAug 26 · 02:10K. Durak1.738970J. Pruszkowski2.001111113WAug 26 · 24:35J. Nowak2.50741181K. Durak1.5011119113WAug 25 · 23:45P. Slosarczyk4.0081480K. Durak1.221116113WAug 25 · 22:55K. Durak2.20116913123P. Brozek1.612111111102LAug 25 · 21:45K. Durak1.334950O. Sokolowski3.251111113WAug 25 · 19:40K. Durak1.571912113M. Koczyba2.25171080
M. Tkocz10
LSep 10 · 19:35P. Zemla1.831211113M. Tkocz1.8310830LSep 10 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.8811811113M. Tkocz1.82911661LSep 10 · 16:50P. Gasiorski1.3611117113M. Tkocz2.75371141LSep 10 · 15:10P. Brozek2.10741311113M. Tkocz1.66111111472WSep 9 · 02:00M. Tkocz1.72711115113M. Lebek1.9211851172LSep 9 · 24:45M. Tkocz1.41118871M. Adamus2.5581111113WSep 8 · 23:35M. Tkocz1.3711511113M. Paszkiewicz2.70911931LSep 8 · 22:25M. Sikon3.35841111113M. Tkocz1.2511119692LSep 8 · 21:35M. Tkocz1.451481111102O. Sokolowski2.55161159123LSep 8 · 20:00M. Tkocz1.3811712552S. Juzek2.808111011113
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