TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109474
Played Sep 10Finished
Kamil Durak
Home
1.77
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111210711811––
Piotr Brozek
Away
1.93
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Brozek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
9111210711811––
H2H Kamil Durak 3–2 Piotr Brozek Piotr Brozek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Durak beat Brozek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:36What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.77 (52%)
Durak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Durak 1540 vs Brozek 1423
Durak
Wrong
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Durak 80% vs Brozek 20%
Durak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Durak 70% vs Brozek 50%
Durak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Durak +3 · Brozek -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Durak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brozek form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDurak 1.77 / Brozek 1.93
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Durak)+1.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13109474
Durak1.77
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite72% won 34 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Brozek1.93
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog51% won 24 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back30% 8 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeDurak3wins
AwayBrozek2wins
3 of 5 to a deciderDurak leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDurak100%3 of 3
AwayBrozekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Durak3Brozek2n = 5Durak took 3 of 5
S2Durak1Brozek4n = 5Brozek took 4 of 5
S3Durak0Brozek5n = 5Brozek took 5 of 5
S4Durak2Brozek1n = 3Durak took 2 of 3
S5Durak3Brozek0n = 3Durak took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home360%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricDurakBrozekD − BBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match40.242.4−2.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDurakBrozekBasisWin rate · lifetime46 / 65 vs 88 / 16570.8%53.3%46 / 65 vs 88 / 165Avg sets wonper match2.42.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DurakDurak 1.77/Brozek 1.93
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Durak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 10 · 18:00K. Durak—119912143P. Brozek—8111110122
WAug 25 · 22:55K. Durak—116913123P. Brozek—2111111102
WAug 25 · 15:25K. Durak—1112613113P. Brozek—510111552
LAug 18 · 23:20K. Durak—8470P. Brozek—1111113
LAug 18 · 18:30K. Durak—38120P. Brozek—1111143
K. Durak10
WSep 10 · 20:20K. Durak1.8011116123M. Tkocz1.907611101WSep 10 · 18:45M. Koczyba1.9181070K. Durak1.741112113WSep 10 · 18:00P. Brozek2.178111110122K. Durak1.56119912143LSep 10 · 17:10K. Durak1.8181111101P. Zemla1.8311139123WSep 10 · 16:00K. Durak2.80111176113P. Gasiorski1.3788111152LAug 26 · 02:10K. Durak1.738970J. Pruszkowski2.001111113WAug 26 · 24:35J. Nowak2.50741181K. Durak1.5011119113WAug 25 · 23:45P. Slosarczyk4.0081480K. Durak1.221116113WAug 25 · 22:55K. Durak2.20116913123P. Brozek1.612111111102LAug 25 · 21:45K. Durak1.334950O. Sokolowski3.251111113
P. Brozek10
LSep 10 · 20:45P. Brozek1.958790P. Zemla1.751111113LSep 10 · 19:10P. Brozek2.8768111142P. Gasiorski1.37111197113LSep 10 · 18:00P. Brozek2.178111110122K. Durak1.56119912143LSep 10 · 16:25P. Brozek1.90116491M. Koczyba1.8081111113WSep 10 · 15:10P. Brozek2.10741311113M. Tkocz1.66111111472WSep 8 · 14:40P. Brozek2.0021112113P. Gumulinski1.731181091WSep 8 · 13:05P. Brozek1.8091111143P. Przewlocki1.911176121LSep 8 · 11:50P. Brozek1.838680W. Urban1.831111113WSep 8 · 10:10P. Brozek1.60101111113R. Idaczyk2.10127961LAug 25 · 22:55K. Durak2.20116913123P. Brozek1.612111111102
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