TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13050692
Played Aug 31Finished
Wojciech Urban
Home
1.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115811117119––
Jaroslaw Badura
Away
1.95
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:00 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
115811117119––
H2H Wojciech Urban 9–1 Jaroslaw Badura Jaroslaw Badura has won 1 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:00What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Urban
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-1 in 10
Urban
Correct
gap of 8 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urban 1343 vs Badura 1374
Badura
Wrong
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urban 40% vs Badura 60%
Badura
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urban 40% vs Badura 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urban -1 · Badura -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Urban)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrban 1.75 / Badura 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Urban)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13050692
Urban1.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 166 of 286
Up 2–0, closes it96% 67 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it73% 116 of 158
Badura1.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 53 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back24% 17 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrban9wins
AwayBadura1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderUrban leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrban100%4 of 4
AwayBadura16.7%1 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urban4Badura6n = 10Badura took 6 of 10
S2Urban7Badura3n = 10Urban took 7 of 10
S3Urban7Badura3n = 10Urban took 7 of 10
S4Urban7Badura2n = 9Urban took 7 of 9
S5Urban3Badura0n = 3Urban took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbanBaduraU − BBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.837.8+5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbanBaduraBasisWin rate · lifetime709 / 1520 vs 317 / 60646.6%52.3%709 / 1520 vs 317 / 606Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanUrban 1.75/Badura 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 21:55W. Urban—91113133J. Badura—11111111
WAug 26 · 06:25W. Urban—111011123J. Badura—8128101
LApr 21 · 19:35W. Urban—611781J. Badura—11611113
WDec 15 · 03:20W. Urban—61114113J. Badura—1191271
WDec 14 · 16:10W. Urban—851411113J. Badura—111112772
WOct 13 · 01:35W. Urban—11811113J. Badura—311961
WOct 12 · 19:35W. Urban—711119143J. Badura—118911122
WOct 8 · 22:25W. Urban—1114113J. Badura—71290
WSep 28 · 12:45W. Urban—513911113J. Badura—111111962
WSep 28 · 10:20W. Urban—11114113J. Badura—251161
W. Urban10
WSep 10 · 14:40L. Oracz1.738990W. Urban2.001111113WSep 10 · 13:30W. Urban2.63811811123K. Slawinski1.44117116102LSep 10 · 12:15P. Kurek1.731511113W. Urban2.0013960LSep 10 · 11:00M. Sikon2.001111113W. Urban1.735570LSep 10 · 09:25R. Idaczyk1.831111113W. Urban1.834970WSep 10 · 08:35P. Kurek1.80913891W. Urban1.91111111113LSep 10 · 07:20W. Urban2.63811461K. Slawinski1.4411611113LSep 10 · 06:10L. Oracz1.7312411113W. Urban2.001011891WSep 10 · 04:40M. Sikon3.25411741W. Urban1.3311711113LSep 10 · 03:20R. Idaczyk1.831111133W. Urban1.8356110
J. Badura10
LSep 11 · 18:20J. Michalski3.1011117113J. Badura1.33471141WAug 31 · 04:40G. Marud1.70891291J. Badura2.00111110113LAug 31 · 01:55S. Szostok1.511112133J. Badura2.35810110WAug 31 · 01:10P. Adamus1.68913111142J. Badura2.081111134113WAug 30 · 23:30P. Polok1.561110991J. Badura2.2431211113WAug 30 · 22:40G. Marud1.853680J. Badura1.801111113LAug 30 · 21:55W. Urban1.8091113133J. Badura1.9011111111LAug 30 · 19:55S. Szostok1.47611119113J. Badura2.4511741172LAug 30 · 19:10P. Polok1.631111113J. Badura2.092240WAug 30 · 17:30P. Adamus1.581191091J. Badura2.1951112113
Upcoming Matches
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