TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13048298
Played Aug 30Finished
Pawel Polok
Home
1.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
112112114––––
Jaroslaw Badura
Away
2.09
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:35 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
41 points played in total.
Set by set
112112114––––
H2H Pawel Polok 3–1 Jaroslaw Badura Jaroslaw Badura has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:35What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.63 (56%)
Polok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Polok
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polok 1368 vs Badura 1377
Badura
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polok 40% vs Badura 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polok 40% vs Badura 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Polok -1 · Badura +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Polok)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polok form (40%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolok 1.63 / Badura 2.09
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Polok)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13048298
Polok1.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 52 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it79% 41 of 52
Badura2.09
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 50 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomePolok3wins
AwayBadura1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderPolok leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polok2Badura2n = 4split evenly
S2Polok3Badura1n = 4Polok took 3 of 4
S3Polok2Badura2n = 4split evenly
S4Polok4Badura0n = 4Polok took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home375%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricPolokBaduraP − BBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match41.032.8+8.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolokBaduraBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 125 vs 314 / 59962.4%52.4%78 / 125 vs 314 / 599Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolokPolok 1.63/Badura 2.09
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Polok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 28 · 22:10P. Polok—11117113J. Badura—691131
WAug 28 · 19:40P. Polok—11611113J. Badura—411461
LAug 27 · 14:45P. Polok—711101172J. Badura—114127113
WAug 27 · 11:05P. Polok—61111113J. Badura—117951
P. Polok10
WSep 6 · 04:40A. Szurgot4.802460P. Polok1.131111113LSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 01:55R. Szymik1.689111381P. Polok2.0711615113WSep 6 · 01:10R. Wiza3.6610760P. Polok1.241211113LSep 5 · 23:30L. Bernacki2.40111011173P. Polok1.503124151WSep 5 · 22:40A. Szurgot4.503139111P. Polok1.17111111133WSep 5 · 21:55R. Adach3.154330P. Polok1.291111113WSep 5 · 19:55R. Szymik1.9512970P. Polok1.751411113WSep 5 · 19:10L. Bernacki2.196860P. Polok1.581111113WSep 5 · 17:30R. Wiza3.251011641P. Polok1.2812911113
J. Badura10
LSep 11 · 18:20J. Michalski3.1011117113J. Badura1.33471141WAug 31 · 04:40G. Marud1.70891291J. Badura2.00111110113LAug 31 · 03:55W. Urban1.7511811113J. Badura1.95511791LAug 31 · 01:55S. Szostok1.511112133J. Badura2.35810110WAug 31 · 01:10P. Adamus1.68913111142J. Badura2.081111134113WAug 30 · 23:30P. Polok1.561110991J. Badura2.2431211113WAug 30 · 22:40G. Marud1.853680J. Badura1.801111113LAug 30 · 21:55W. Urban1.8091113133J. Badura1.9011111111LAug 30 · 19:55S. Szostok1.47611119113J. Badura2.4511741172WAug 30 · 17:30P. Adamus1.581191091J. Badura2.1951112113
Upcoming Matches
P. Polok
Nothing scheduled
J. Badura
Sep 11 · 19:10J. Badura1.22A. Szurgot3.60—Sep 11 · 20:45J. Badura1.80J. Orszulik1.86—Sep 11 · 21:30J. Badura1.51R. Wiza2.29—Sep 11 · 22:20J. Badura2.17R. Szymik1.57—Sep 11 · 23:30J. Badura1.22A. Szurgot3.60—Sep 12 · 24:45J. Badura2.24R. Szymik1.53—Sep 12 · 02:20J. Badura1.32J. Michalski2.90—Sep 12 · 03:30J. Badura1.54R. Wiza2.21—Sep 12 · 05:05J. Badura—J. Orszulik——
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.