TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13040713
Played Aug 30Finished
Pawel Adamus
Home
1.58
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1159111012911––
Jaroslaw Badura
Away
2.19
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:59 and never touched — 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
78 points played in total.
Set by set
1159111012911––
H2H Pawel Adamus 5–2 Jaroslaw Badura Jaroslaw Badura has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.58 (58%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1425 vs Badura 1363
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 80% vs Badura 40%
Adamus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 60% vs Badura 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -1 · Badura -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.58 / Badura 2.19
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Adamus)+2.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13040713
Adamus1.58
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 181 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it98% 84 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it77% 133 of 172
Badura2.19
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 50 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeAdamus5wins
AwayBadura2wins
2 of 7 to a deciderAdamus leads 5–2, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus80%4 of 5
AwayBaduran = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus5Badura2n = 7Adamus took 5 of 7
S2Adamus3Badura4n = 7Badura took 4 of 7
S3Adamus4Badura3n = 7Adamus took 4 of 7
S4Adamus4Badura1n = 5Adamus took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricAdamusBaduraA − BBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match41.736.7+5.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusBaduraBasisWin rate · lifetime381 / 683 vs 313 / 59855.8%52.3%381 / 683 vs 313 / 598Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.58/Badura 2.19
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Badura won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 24 · 01:10P. Adamus—1151410112J. Badura—9111212133
WAug 23 · 19:10P. Adamus—1111113J. Badura—9460
WAug 10 · 02:00P. Adamus—11911113J. Badura—411471
LAug 9 · 16:25P. Adamus—9670J. Badura—1111113
WJul 30 · 05:10P. Adamus—102211113J. Badura—1220681
WJul 29 · 17:05P. Adamus—11117113J. Badura—781151
WJul 29 · 06:20P. Adamus—119613113J. Badura—711111152
P. Adamus10
LSep 10 · 08:20P. Adamus2.0081111442O. Sokolowski1.70117811113WSep 10 · 06:50J. Kaczmarek2.65681571P. Adamus1.38111113113LSep 10 · 06:10M. Lebek1.71111177113P. Adamus2.0048111192WSep 10 · 05:30P. Adamus1.4411612113A. Burkacki2.469111071WSep 10 · 04:00P. Adamus1.45111011123P. Slosarczyk2.444126101WSep 10 · 02:20P. Adamus1.65111012113O. Sokolowski2.104121071WSep 10 · 24:45M. Baron2.2351181592P. Adamus1.531171113113LSep 10 · 24:00P. Slosarczyk2.55711811113P. Adamus1.4211611472WSep 9 · 23:10P. Adamus1.441112133A. Burkacki2.46810110WSep 9 · 22:00P. Adamus2.051111113M. Lebek1.635680
J. Badura10
LSep 11 · 18:20J. Michalski3.1011117113J. Badura1.33471141WAug 31 · 04:40G. Marud1.70891291J. Badura2.00111110113LAug 31 · 03:55W. Urban1.7511811113J. Badura1.95511791LAug 31 · 01:55S. Szostok1.511112133J. Badura2.35810110WAug 31 · 01:10P. Adamus1.68913111142J. Badura2.081111134113WAug 30 · 23:30P. Polok1.561110991J. Badura2.2431211113WAug 30 · 22:40G. Marud1.853680J. Badura1.801111113LAug 30 · 21:55W. Urban1.8091113133J. Badura1.9011111111LAug 30 · 19:55S. Szostok1.47611119113J. Badura2.4511741172LAug 30 · 19:10P. Polok1.631111113J. Badura2.092240
Upcoming Matches
P. Adamus
Nothing scheduled
J. Badura
Sep 11 · 19:10J. Badura1.22A. Szurgot3.60—Sep 11 · 20:45J. Badura1.80J. Orszulik1.86—Sep 11 · 21:30J. Badura1.51R. Wiza2.29—Sep 11 · 22:20J. Badura2.17R. Szymik1.57—Sep 11 · 23:30J. Badura1.22A. Szurgot3.60—Sep 12 · 24:45J. Badura2.24R. Szymik1.53—Sep 12 · 02:20J. Badura1.32J. Michalski2.90—Sep 12 · 03:30J. Badura1.54R. Wiza2.21—Sep 12 · 05:05J. Badura—J. Orszulik——
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