TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13050181
Played Aug 31Finished
Pawel Adamus
Home
1.68
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
91113111113114411
Jaroslaw Badura
Away
2.08
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:43 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timePawel Adamus to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
91113111113114411
H2H Pawel Adamus 5–3 Jaroslaw Badura Jaroslaw Badura has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:43What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.68 (55%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1437 vs Badura 1361
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 80% vs Badura 40%
Adamus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 70% vs Badura 40%
Adamus
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +2 · Badura +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Adamus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.68 / Badura 2.08
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Adamus)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13050181
Adamus1.68
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 181 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it98% 84 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it77% 133 of 172
Badura2.08
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 50 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back23% 15 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeAdamus5wins
AwayBadura3wins
2 of 8 to a deciderAdamus leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus66.7%4 of 6
AwayBaduran = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus6Badura2n = 8Adamus took 6 of 8
S2Adamus3Badura5n = 8Badura took 5 of 8
S3Adamus4Badura4n = 8split evenly
S4Adamus4Badura2n = 6Adamus took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricAdamusBaduraA − BBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match41.437.0+4.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusBaduraBasisWin rate · lifetime378 / 682 vs 316 / 60555.4%52.2%378 / 682 vs 316 / 605Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.68/Badura 2.08
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Badura won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 30 · 17:30P. Adamus—1191091J. Badura—51112113
LAug 24 · 01:10P. Adamus—1151410112J. Badura—9111212133
WAug 23 · 19:10P. Adamus—1111113J. Badura—9460
WAug 10 · 02:00P. Adamus—11911113J. Badura—411471
LAug 9 · 16:25P. Adamus—9670J. Badura—1111113
WJul 30 · 05:10P. Adamus—102211113J. Badura—1220681
WJul 29 · 17:05P. Adamus—11117113J. Badura—781151
WJul 29 · 06:20P. Adamus—119613113J. Badura—711111152
P. Adamus10
LSep 10 · 08:20P. Adamus2.0081111442O. Sokolowski1.70117811113WSep 10 · 06:50J. Kaczmarek2.65681571P. Adamus1.38111113113LSep 10 · 06:10M. Lebek1.71111177113P. Adamus2.0048111192WSep 10 · 05:30P. Adamus1.4411612113A. Burkacki2.469111071WSep 10 · 04:00P. Adamus1.45111011123P. Slosarczyk2.444126101WSep 10 · 02:20P. Adamus1.65111012113O. Sokolowski2.104121071WSep 10 · 24:45M. Baron2.2351181592P. Adamus1.531171113113LSep 10 · 24:00P. Slosarczyk2.55711811113P. Adamus1.4211611472WSep 9 · 23:10P. Adamus1.441112133A. Burkacki2.46810110WSep 9 · 22:00P. Adamus2.051111113M. Lebek1.635680
J. Badura10
LSep 11 · 18:20J. Michalski3.1011117113J. Badura1.33471141WAug 31 · 04:40G. Marud1.70891291J. Badura2.00111110113LAug 31 · 03:55W. Urban1.7511811113J. Badura1.95511791LAug 31 · 01:55S. Szostok1.511112133J. Badura2.35810110WAug 30 · 23:30P. Polok1.561110991J. Badura2.2431211113WAug 30 · 22:40G. Marud1.853680J. Badura1.801111113LAug 30 · 21:55W. Urban1.8091113133J. Badura1.9011111111LAug 30 · 19:55S. Szostok1.47611119113J. Badura2.4511741172LAug 30 · 19:10P. Polok1.631111113J. Badura2.092240WAug 30 · 17:30P. Adamus1.581191091J. Badura2.1951112113
Upcoming Matches
P. Adamus
Nothing scheduled
J. Badura
Sep 11 · 19:10J. Badura1.22A. Szurgot3.60—Sep 11 · 20:45J. Badura1.80J. Orszulik1.86—Sep 11 · 21:30J. Badura1.51R. Wiza2.29—Sep 11 · 22:20J. Badura2.17R. Szymik1.57—Sep 11 · 23:30J. Badura1.22A. Szurgot3.60—Sep 12 · 24:45J. Badura2.24R. Szymik1.53—Sep 12 · 02:20J. Badura1.32J. Michalski2.90—Sep 12 · 03:30J. Badura1.54R. Wiza2.21—Sep 12 · 05:05J. Badura—J. Orszulik——
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