TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13113617
Played Sep 11Finished
Jakub Michalski
Home
3.10
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114117711114––
Jaroslaw Badura
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:35 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeJaroslaw Badura to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
114117711114––
H2H Jakub Michalski 4–2 Jaroslaw Badura Jaroslaw Badura has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:35What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (70%)
Badura
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Michalski
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalski 1105 vs Badura 1372
Badura
Wrong
both rated, 267 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalski 0% vs Badura 60%
Badura
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalski 0% vs Badura 50%
Badura
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalski -5 · Badura +1
Michalski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Badura) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Badura form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalski 3.10 / Badura 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Badura)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13113617
Michalski3.10
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog29% won 83 of 290
Down 0–1, comes back12% 22 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 130
Badura1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 76 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it97% 36 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it88% 56 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeMichalski4wins
AwayBadura2wins
1 of 6 to a deciderMichalski leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalski60%3 of 5
AwayBaduran = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalski5Badura1n = 6Michalski took 5 of 6
S2Michalski5Badura1n = 6Michalski took 5 of 6
S3Michalski4Badura2n = 6Michalski took 4 of 6
S4Michalski1Badura2n = 3Badura took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home350%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricMichalskiBaduraM − BBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match37.733.8+3.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalskiBaduraBasisWin rate · lifetime412 / 1074 vs 318 / 60838.4%52.3%412 / 1074 vs 318 / 608Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match33.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaduraMichalski 3.10/Badura 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.6%
Badura · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Michalski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 20 · 04:40J. Michalski—1113113J. Badura—51130
LSep 19 · 22:40J. Michalski—1171271J. Badura—81114113
WAug 29 · 23:30J. Michalski—1111123J. Badura—98100
LAug 29 · 19:10J. Michalski—111144112J. Badura—691111133
WAug 2 · 05:05J. Michalski—1114113J. Badura—71260
WAug 1 · 20:45J. Michalski—71111143J. Badura—1169121
J. Michalski10
LSep 5 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.5381111113J. Michalski2.38119631LSep 5 · 03:55J. Michalski2.2011960D. Fira1.571311113LSep 5 · 02:45R. Wiza1.50111310113J. Michalski2.408111281LSep 5 · 01:30K. Juszczyk1.251111113J. Michalski3.708970LSep 4 · 23:55R. Szymik1.131111123J. Michalski4.9535100LSep 4 · 23:05R. Wiza1.601511113J. Michalski2.1013770LSep 4 · 21:55J. Michalski2.0011890D. Fira1.711311113LSep 4 · 20:45P. Gasiorski1.031412123J. Michalski8.701210100LSep 4 · 19:30L. Bernacki1.28111011113J. Michalski3.25412181LSep 4 · 17:55R. Szymik1.121111113J. Michalski5.208570
J. Badura10
WAug 31 · 04:40G. Marud1.70891291J. Badura2.00111110113LAug 31 · 03:55W. Urban1.7511811113J. Badura1.95511791LAug 31 · 01:55S. Szostok1.511112133J. Badura2.35810110WAug 31 · 01:10P. Adamus1.68913111142J. Badura2.081111134113WAug 30 · 23:30P. Polok1.561110991J. Badura2.2431211113WAug 30 · 22:40G. Marud1.853680J. Badura1.801111113LAug 30 · 21:55W. Urban1.8091113133J. Badura1.9011111111LAug 30 · 19:55S. Szostok1.47611119113J. Badura2.4511741172LAug 30 · 19:10P. Polok1.631111113J. Badura2.092240WAug 30 · 17:30P. Adamus1.581191091J. Badura2.1951112113
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