TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13104142
Played Sep 10Finished
Pawel Kurek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111311811911––
Wojciech Urban
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:58 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timePawel Kurek to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
9111311811911––
H2H Pawel Kurek 10–10 Wojciech Urban Dead even across their 20 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:58What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kurek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-10 in 20
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurek 1382 vs Urban 1447
Urban
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurek 40% vs Urban 60%
Urban
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurek 50% vs Urban 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurek +2 · Urban -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kurek) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurek form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurek 1.80 / Urban 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kurek)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13104142
Kurek1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite66% won 208 of 314
Up 2–0, closes it94% 100 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it84% 147 of 175
Urban1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 228 of 560
Down 0–1, comes back20% 60 of 308
Down 0–2, comes back6% 12 of 189
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurek5wins
AwayUrban5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurek100%5 of 5
AwayUrban100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurek5Urban5n = 10split evenly
S2Kurek6Urban4n = 10Kurek took 6 of 10
S3Kurek7Urban3n = 10Kurek took 7 of 10
S4Kurek1Urban3n = 4Urban took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurekUrbanK − UBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.733.2+1.5per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurekUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 783 vs 749 / 158550.2%47.3%393 / 783 vs 749 / 1585Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurekKurek 1.80/Urban 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 08:45P. Kurek—7790W. Urban—1111113
WAug 28 · 07:35P. Kurek—1111113W. Urban—6940
WAug 18 · 21:10P. Kurek—1111113W. Urban—6770
LAug 4 · 02:45P. Kurek—6135131W. Urban—111111153
WAug 3 · 23:05P. Kurek—1111143W. Urban—79120
LAug 3 · 02:45P. Kurek—941271W. Urban—111110113
LAug 2 · 23:05P. Kurek—111080W. Urban—1312113
WJul 21 · 13:30P. Kurek—111111123W. Urban—6138101
LJul 21 · 07:20P. Kurek—61111982W. Urban—115711113
WJul 12 · 03:35P. Kurek—1111123W. Urban—58100
P. Kurek10
LSep 10 · 10:35P. Kurek2.757590K. Slawinski1.401111113WSep 10 · 09:50M. Sikon2.63116461P. Kurek1.4451111113WSep 10 · 06:55P. Kurek2.3861111113L. Oracz1.53116731WSep 10 · 05:50P. Kurek1.44981111113M. Sikon2.6311119882LSep 10 · 04:00P. Kurek1.537860R. Idaczyk2.381111113LSep 10 · 03:00P. Kurek2.63861151K. Slawinski1.4411113113LSep 9 · 14:20P. Kurek2.38711261P. Gumulinski1.5311311113WSep 9 · 12:40P. Przewlocki2.1011611992P. Kurek1.67911511113LSep 9 · 11:50O. Vincenec1.831111104113P. Kurek1.8369121192WSep 9 · 11:00P. Kurek1.4411117113K. Schaniel2.63861181
W. Urban10
LSep 10 · 11:00M. Sikon2.001111113W. Urban1.735570LSep 10 · 09:25R. Idaczyk1.831111113W. Urban1.834970LSep 10 · 07:20W. Urban2.63811461K. Slawinski1.4411611113LSep 10 · 06:10L. Oracz1.7312411113W. Urban2.001011891WSep 10 · 04:40M. Sikon3.25411741W. Urban1.3311711113LSep 10 · 03:20R. Idaczyk1.831111133W. Urban1.8356110WSep 9 · 16:40B. Madej2.7569100W. Urban1.361111123WSep 9 · 15:55K. Adamus1.67511881W. Urban2.1011511113WSep 9 · 13:55S. Juzek1.941311571W. Urban1.71111311113LSep 9 · 13:10W. Buczynski2.0571111113W. Urban1.66119491
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