TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13102554
Played Sep 9Finished
Boguslaw Madej
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6119111012––––
Wojciech Urban
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:19 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
6119111012––––
H2H Boguslaw Madej 1–0 Wojciech Urban Wojciech Urban has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Madej beat Urban 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:19What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (67%)
Urban
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Madej 1211 vs Urban 1448
Urban
Correct
both rated, 237 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Madej 20% vs Urban 60%
Urban
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Madej 30% vs Urban 70%
Urban
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Madej -4 · Urban +2
Madej
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Urban) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (60%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMadej 2.75 / Urban 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Urban)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13102554
Madej2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 41 of 131
Down 0–1, comes back20% 16 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Urban1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 180 of 310
Up 2–0, closes it96% 73 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it73% 127 of 173
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMadej1wins
AwayUrban0wins
Madej leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMadejUrbanM − UBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match40.035.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMadejUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 394 vs 747 / 158135.8%47.3%141 / 394 vs 747 / 1581Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanMadej 2.75/Urban 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.7%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 9 · 10:40B. Madej—11115133W. Urban—4911111
B. Madej10
LSep 9 · 15:05S. Juzek1.551111113B. Madej2.257570LSep 9 · 14:20M. Rus1.92912149113B. Madej1.731110121152LSep 9 · 13:30B. Madej3.20115131182K. Adamus1.305111113113LSep 9 · 12:20B. Madej2.4461171192W. Buczynski1.45114115113WSep 9 · 10:40B. Madej2.3511115133W. Urban1.524911111LSep 9 · 09:05S. Juzek1.501311123B. Madej2.40117100LSep 9 · 08:20K. Adamus1.231711113B. Madej3.5015120WSep 9 · 07:30B. Madej2.4471111113W. Buczynski1.45114751LSep 9 · 06:20B. Madej1.857911101M. Rus1.8511116123WSep 2 · 16:40B. Madej3.2013149113M. Adamus1.2811121161
W. Urban10
WSep 9 · 15:55K. Adamus1.67511881W. Urban2.1011511113WSep 9 · 13:55S. Juzek1.941311571W. Urban1.71111311113LSep 9 · 13:10W. Buczynski2.0571111113W. Urban1.66119491WSep 9 · 11:30M. Rus2.9011440W. Urban1.331311113LSep 9 · 10:40B. Madej2.3511115133W. Urban1.524911111WSep 9 · 09:55W. Buczynski1.85121251132W. Urban1.8010101113113WSep 9 · 07:55S. Juzek1.80121217672W. Urban1.8514101511113LSep 9 · 07:10M. Rus2.9011115113W. Urban1.33991181WSep 9 · 05:30K. Adamus1.73911114102W. Urban1.98116911123WSep 8 · 14:20W. Urban3.4011811133M. Durda1.309117111
Upcoming Matches
B. Madej
Nothing scheduled
W. Urban
Sep 10 · 03:20W. Urban1.83R. Idaczyk1.83—Sep 10 · 04:40W. Urban1.57M. Sikon2.25—Sep 10 · 06:10W. Urban2.00L. Oracz1.73—Sep 10 · 07:20W. Urban2.63K. Slawinski1.44—Sep 10 · 08:35W. Urban2.00P. Kurek1.73—Sep 10 · 09:25W. Urban1.83R. Idaczyk1.83—Sep 10 · 11:00W. Urban1.57M. Sikon2.25—Sep 10 · 12:15W. Urban2.00P. Kurek1.73—Sep 10 · 13:30W. Urban2.63K. Slawinski1.44—Sep 10 · 14:40W. Urban2.10L. Oracz1.67—
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