TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103689
Played Sep 10Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
411117711411––
Wojciech Urban
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:27 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
411117711411––
H2H Mateusz Sikon 1–4 Wojciech Urban Mateusz Sikon has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:27What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Urban
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Urban
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1412 vs Urban 1436
Urban
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 80% vs Urban 60%
Sikon
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 80% vs Urban 60%
Sikon
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon +2 · Urban -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Urban) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 3.25 / Urban 1.33
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Urban)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13103689
Sikon3.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 95 of 277
Down 0–1, comes back15% 26 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 111
Urban1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 181 of 310
Up 2–0, closes it96% 73 of 76
Up 1–0, closes it74% 127 of 172
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSikon1wins
AwayUrban4wins
2 of 5 to a deciderUrban leads 4–1, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikonn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayUrban75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon1Urban4n = 5Urban took 4 of 5
S2Sikon3Urban2n = 5Sikon took 3 of 5
S3Sikon3Urban2n = 5Sikon took 3 of 5
S4Sikon1Urban3n = 4Urban took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricSikonUrbanS − UBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match40.840.6+0.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime148 / 386 vs 748 / 158338.3%47.3%148 / 386 vs 748 / 1583Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanSikon 3.25/Urban 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.1%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 2 · 02:45M. Sikon—91111113W. Urban—115841
LSep 1 · 02:10M. Sikon—111110692W. Urban—761211113
LAug 31 · 23:05M. Sikon—891191W. Urban—11116113
LAug 18 · 01:10M. Sikon—86110W. Urban—1111133
LJul 1 · 24:10M. Sikon—714111382W. Urban—1112515113
M. Sikon10
LSep 10 · 05:50P. Kurek1.44981111113M. Sikon2.6311119882WSep 10 · 03:40M. Sikon3.5081211113L. Oracz1.281110891WSep 9 · 08:00J. Kaczmarek1.831111981M. Sikon1.8391311113LSep 9 · 07:10M. Lebek1.7051111113M. Sikon2.00115491WSep 9 · 06:25M. Sikon2.171111113O. Sokolowski1.567980WSep 9 · 04:50M. Sikon2.00111110113M. Paszkiewicz1.71591261WSep 9 · 04:00M. Adamus1.57971191M. Sikon2.1611116113LSep 9 · 02:45M. Sikon2.00461181O. Sokolowski1.7011114113WSep 9 · 01:10M. Sikon3.0511912113M. Lebek1.296111061WSep 9 · 24:00M. Sikon2.20111211113M. Adamus1.58714891
W. Urban10
LSep 10 · 06:10L. Oracz1.7312411113W. Urban2.001011891LSep 10 · 03:20R. Idaczyk1.831111133W. Urban1.8356110WSep 9 · 16:40B. Madej2.7569100W. Urban1.361111123WSep 9 · 15:55K. Adamus1.67511881W. Urban2.1011511113WSep 9 · 13:55S. Juzek1.941311571W. Urban1.71111311113LSep 9 · 13:10W. Buczynski2.0571111113W. Urban1.66119491WSep 9 · 11:30M. Rus2.9011440W. Urban1.331311113LSep 9 · 10:40B. Madej2.3511115133W. Urban1.524911111WSep 9 · 09:55W. Buczynski1.85121251132W. Urban1.8010101113113WSep 9 · 07:55S. Juzek1.80121217672W. Urban1.8514101511113
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