TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13102851
Played Sep 10Finished
Rafal Idaczyk
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151161311––––
Wojciech Urban
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeWojciech Urban to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRafal Idaczyk above · Wojciech Urban below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 57 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Wojciech Urban at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Rafal Idaczyk 7–5 Wojciech Urban Wojciech Urban has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:46What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Urban
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Idaczyk
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Idaczyk 1367 vs Urban 1454
Urban
Wrong
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Idaczyk 40% vs Urban 80%
Urban
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Idaczyk 40% vs Urban 70%
Urban
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Idaczyk +1 · Urban +3
Urban
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Urban)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIdaczyk 1.83 / Urban 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Urban)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13102851
Idaczyk1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Urban1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIdaczyk6wins
AwayUrban4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderIdaczyk leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIdaczyk75%6 of 8
AwayUrbann = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Idaczyk8Urban2n = 10Idaczyk took 8 of 10
S2Idaczyk6Urban4n = 10Idaczyk took 6 of 10
S3Idaczyk4Urban6n = 10Urban took 6 of 10
S4Idaczyk4Urban2n = 6Idaczyk took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricIdaczykUrbanI − UBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match34.832.0+2.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIdaczykUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime474 / 963 vs 748 / 158249.2%47.3%474 / 963 vs 748 / 1582Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanIdaczyk 1.83/Urban 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Idaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 12:40R. Idaczyk—4930W. Urban—1111113
LSep 8 · 06:30R. Idaczyk—1211761W. Urban—14911113
WAug 15 · 04:25R. Idaczyk—11511113W. Urban—911791
WAug 14 · 04:25R. Idaczyk—1111123W. Urban—78100
WJul 21 · 06:05R. Idaczyk—111110113W. Urban—771241
LJul 18 · 11:25R. Idaczyk—11851152W. Urban—811118113
WJun 25 · 04:25R. Idaczyk—111110113W. Urban—551261
LJun 3 · 08:00R. Idaczyk—118761W. Urban—21111113
WMay 27 · 07:10R. Idaczyk—1111113W. Urban—7830
WApr 19 · 04:00R. Idaczyk—1111113W. Urban—5970
R. Idaczyk10
WSep 8 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.731111153P. Przewlocki2.0059130LSep 8 · 12:40R. Idaczyk1.674930W. Urban2.101111113WSep 8 · 11:25R. Idaczyk5.0071111133M. Durda1.141178111LSep 8 · 10:10P. Brozek1.60101111113R. Idaczyk2.10127961LSep 8 · 09:25R. Idaczyk2.3811119552P. Gumulinski1.53581111113WSep 8 · 07:45R. Idaczyk2.101111113P. Brozek1.679570LSep 8 · 06:30R. Idaczyk1.671211761W. Urban2.1014911113LSep 8 · 05:15R. Idaczyk3.505480M. Durda1.281111113LSep 8 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.001111113R. Idaczyk1.735650WSep 8 · 03:25R. Idaczyk2.251111127113P. Gumulinski1.5728141162
W. Urban10
WSep 9 · 16:40B. Madej2.7569100W. Urban1.361111123WSep 9 · 15:55K. Adamus1.67511881W. Urban2.1011511113WSep 9 · 13:55S. Juzek1.941311571W. Urban1.71111311113LSep 9 · 13:10W. Buczynski2.0571111113W. Urban1.66119491WSep 9 · 11:30M. Rus2.9011440W. Urban1.331311113LSep 9 · 10:40B. Madej2.3511115133W. Urban1.524911111WSep 9 · 09:55W. Buczynski1.85121251132W. Urban1.8010101113113WSep 9 · 07:55S. Juzek1.80121217672W. Urban1.8514101511113WSep 8 · 12:40R. Idaczyk1.674930W. Urban2.101111113WSep 8 · 06:30R. Idaczyk1.671211761W. Urban2.1014911113
Upcoming Matches
R. Idaczyk
Sep 10 · 05:30R. Idaczyk2.20K. Slawinski1.61—Sep 10 · 06:30R. Idaczyk2.00M. Sikon1.73—Sep 10 · 07:45R. Idaczyk2.63L. Oracz1.44—Sep 10 · 09:25R. Idaczyk1.83W. Urban1.83—Sep 10 · 10:10R. Idaczyk2.63L. Oracz1.44—Sep 10 · 11:25R. Idaczyk2.20K. Slawinski1.61—Sep 10 · 12:40R. Idaczyk2.00M. Sikon1.73—Sep 10 · 13:55R. Idaczyk2.38P. Kurek1.53—
W. Urban
Sep 10 · 04:40W. Urban1.53M. Sikon2.38—Sep 10 · 06:10W. Urban2.00L. Oracz1.73—Sep 10 · 07:20W. Urban2.63K. Slawinski1.44—Sep 10 · 08:35W. Urban2.00P. Kurek1.73—Sep 10 · 09:25W. Urban1.83R. Idaczyk1.83—Sep 10 · 11:00W. Urban1.53M. Sikon2.38—Sep 10 · 12:15W. Urban2.00P. Kurek1.73—Sep 10 · 13:30W. Urban2.63K. Slawinski1.44—Sep 10 · 14:40W. Urban2.00L. Oracz1.73—
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