TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13107293
Played Sep 10Finished
Pawel Kurek
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711511911––––
Kacper Slawinski
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:16 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPawel Kurek above · Kacper Slawinski below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 54 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Kacper Slawinski at 59.3%
54 points played in total.
H2H Pawel Kurek 0–2 Kacper Slawinski Pawel Kurek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:16What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Slawinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kurek 1393 vs Slawinski 1475
Slawinski
Correct
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurek 60% vs Slawinski 40%
Kurek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurek 50% vs Slawinski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurek +3 · Slawinski -1
Kurek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Slawinski) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slawinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurek 2.75 / Slawinski 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Slawinski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13107293
Kurek2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 121 of 312
Down 0–1, comes back22% 40 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 102
Slawinski1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 97 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it98% 46 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it82% 70 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKurek0wins
AwaySlawinski2wins
Slawinski leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKurekSlawinskiK − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match28.035.0−7.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurekSlawinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 782 vs 614 / 99150.3%62%393 / 782 vs 614 / 991Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiKurek 2.75/Slawinski 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.1%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Slawinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 10 · 03:00P. Kurek—861151K. Slawinski—11113113
LAug 12 · 10:10P. Kurek—71090K. Slawinski—1112113
P. Kurek10
WSep 10 · 09:50M. Sikon2.63116461P. Kurek1.4451111113LSep 10 · 08:35P. Kurek1.80913891W. Urban1.91111111113WSep 10 · 06:55P. Kurek2.3861111113L. Oracz1.53116731WSep 10 · 05:50P. Kurek1.44981111113M. Sikon2.6311119882LSep 10 · 04:00P. Kurek1.537860R. Idaczyk2.381111113LSep 10 · 03:00P. Kurek2.63861151K. Slawinski1.4411113113LSep 9 · 14:20P. Kurek2.38711261P. Gumulinski1.5311311113WSep 9 · 12:40P. Przewlocki2.1011611992P. Kurek1.67911511113LSep 9 · 11:50O. Vincenec1.831111104113P. Kurek1.8369121192WSep 9 · 11:00P. Kurek1.4411117113K. Schaniel2.63861181
K. Slawinski10
WSep 10 · 11:25R. Idaczyk2.6312850K. Slawinski1.441411113LSep 10 · 09:00L. Oracz2.101111153K. Slawinski1.6748130WSep 10 · 08:10M. Sikon3.75118951K. Slawinski1.2531111113WSep 10 · 07:20W. Urban2.63811461K. Slawinski1.4411611113LSep 10 · 05:30R. Idaczyk2.75611116133K. Slawinski1.40117911112LSep 10 · 04:20L. Oracz2.0012815113K. Slawinski1.7310111391WSep 10 · 03:00P. Kurek2.63861151K. Slawinski1.4411113113LSep 8 · 16:20K. Slawinski1.67111013151S. Szostok2.0041215173WSep 8 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.3611913113O. Vincenec2.755111181WSep 8 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.29981111113W. Buczynski3.1011113882
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