TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13104895
Played Sep 10Finished
Rafal Idaczyk
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214811511––––
Kacper Slawinski
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:18 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRafal Idaczyk above · Kacper Slawinski below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 61 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Kacper Slawinski at 60.9%
61 points played in total.
H2H Rafal Idaczyk 7–10 Kacper Slawinski Rafal Idaczyk has won 7 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:18What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Slawinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-10 in 17
Slawinski
Correct
gap of 3 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Idaczyk 1420 vs Slawinski 1486
Slawinski
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Idaczyk 80% vs Slawinski 40%
Idaczyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Idaczyk 60% vs Slawinski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Idaczyk -1 · Slawinski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Slawinski) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slawinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIdaczyk 2.63 / Slawinski 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Slawinski)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13104895
Idaczyk2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 106 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back15% 24 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 108
Slawinski1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 97 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it98% 46 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it82% 70 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeIdaczyk4wins
AwaySlawinski6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSlawinski leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeIdaczykn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySlawinski75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Idaczyk2Slawinski8n = 10Slawinski took 8 of 10
S2Idaczyk6Slawinski4n = 10Idaczyk took 6 of 10
S3Idaczyk6Slawinski4n = 10Idaczyk took 6 of 10
S4Idaczyk3Slawinski3n = 6split evenly
S5Idaczyk2Slawinski3n = 5Slawinski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricIdaczykSlawinskiI − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match37.138.7−1.6per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIdaczykSlawinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime478 / 968 vs 615 / 99249.4%62%478 / 968 vs 615 / 992Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiIdaczyk 2.63/Slawinski 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Slawinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 05:30R. Idaczyk—611116133K. Slawinski—117911112
LAug 12 · 16:00R. Idaczyk—9580K. Slawinski—1111113
LAug 4 · 14:20R. Idaczyk—97111272K. Slawinski—1111810113
WAug 4 · 06:20R. Idaczyk—913711113K. Slawinski—111111472
WJan 19 · 16:30R. Idaczyk—1111113K. Slawinski—7450
LJan 19 · 10:30R. Idaczyk—931171K. Slawinski—11119113
WOct 16 · 15:05R. Idaczyk—1111113K. Slawinski—4760
LSep 1 · 11:30R. Idaczyk—61171372K. Slawinski—1161111113
LSep 1 · 07:10R. Idaczyk—9570K. Slawinski—1111113
LFeb 11 · 16:55R. Idaczyk—811112122K. Slawinski—118811143
R. Idaczyk10
LSep 10 · 10:10L. Oracz1.53111176153R. Idaczyk2.38821111132WSep 10 · 09:25R. Idaczyk1.831111113W. Urban1.834970WSep 10 · 07:45R. Idaczyk2.6311101011113L. Oracz1.4491212752WSep 10 · 06:30R. Idaczyk2.001111312113M. Sikon1.73138111082WSep 10 · 05:30R. Idaczyk2.75611116133K. Slawinski1.40117911112WSep 10 · 04:00P. Kurek1.537860R. Idaczyk2.381111113WSep 10 · 03:20R. Idaczyk1.831111133W. Urban1.8356110WSep 8 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.731111153P. Przewlocki2.0059130LSep 8 · 12:40R. Idaczyk1.674930W. Urban2.101111113WSep 8 · 11:25R. Idaczyk5.0071111133M. Durda1.141178111
K. Slawinski10
WSep 10 · 10:35P. Kurek2.757590K. Slawinski1.401111113LSep 10 · 09:00L. Oracz2.101111153K. Slawinski1.6748130WSep 10 · 08:10M. Sikon3.75118951K. Slawinski1.2531111113WSep 10 · 07:20W. Urban2.63811461K. Slawinski1.4411611113LSep 10 · 05:30R. Idaczyk2.75611116133K. Slawinski1.40117911112LSep 10 · 04:20L. Oracz2.0012815113K. Slawinski1.7310111391WSep 10 · 03:00P. Kurek2.63861151K. Slawinski1.4411113113LSep 8 · 16:20K. Slawinski1.67111013151S. Szostok2.0041215173WSep 8 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.3611913113O. Vincenec2.755111181WSep 8 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.29981111113W. Buczynski3.1011113882
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