TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103792
Played Sep 10Finished
Rafal Idaczyk
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11131183111210118
Mateusz Sikon
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Sikon to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
11131183111210118
H2H Rafal Idaczyk 3–0 Mateusz Sikon Mateusz Sikon has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:47What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sikon
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Idaczyk
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Idaczyk 1432 vs Sikon 1359
Idaczyk
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Idaczyk 80% vs Sikon 40%
Idaczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Idaczyk 60% vs Sikon 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Idaczyk +4 · Sikon -2
Idaczyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sikon)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikon form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsIdaczyk 2.00 / Sikon 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sikon)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13103792
Idaczyk2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 106 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back15% 24 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 108
Sikon1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite51% won 53 of 105
Up 2–0, closes it79% 19 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it75% 33 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeIdaczyk3wins
AwaySikon0wins
2 of 3 to a deciderIdaczyk leads 3–0, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Idaczyk2Sikon1n = 3Idaczyk took 2 of 3
S2Idaczyk2Sikon1n = 3Idaczyk took 2 of 3
S3Idaczyk0Sikon3n = 3Sikon took 3 of 3
S4Idaczyk3Sikon0n = 3Idaczyk took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home267%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricIdaczykSikonI − SBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match50.346.0+4.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricIdaczykSikonBasisWin rate · lifetime480 / 971 vs 149 / 39349.4%37.9%480 / 971 vs 149 / 393Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SikonIdaczyk 2.00/Sikon 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sikon · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Idaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 10 · 06:30R. Idaczyk—1111312113M. Sikon—138111082
WJul 20 · 05:15R. Idaczyk—141112163M. Sikon—12514141
WJun 24 · 10:10R. Idaczyk—1210611113M. Sikon—101211732
R. Idaczyk10
LSep 10 · 11:25R. Idaczyk2.6312850K. Slawinski1.441411113LSep 10 · 10:10L. Oracz1.53111176153R. Idaczyk2.38821111132WSep 10 · 09:25R. Idaczyk1.831111113W. Urban1.834970WSep 10 · 07:45R. Idaczyk2.6311101011113L. Oracz1.4491212752WSep 10 · 05:30R. Idaczyk2.75611116133K. Slawinski1.40117911112WSep 10 · 04:00P. Kurek1.537860R. Idaczyk2.381111113WSep 10 · 03:20R. Idaczyk1.831111133W. Urban1.8356110WSep 8 · 13:55R. Idaczyk1.731111153P. Przewlocki2.0059130LSep 8 · 12:40R. Idaczyk1.674930W. Urban2.101111113WSep 8 · 11:25R. Idaczyk5.0071111133M. Durda1.141178111
M. Sikon10
LSep 10 · 11:50L. Oracz1.301111113M. Sikon3.406890WSep 10 · 11:00M. Sikon2.001111113W. Urban1.735570LSep 10 · 09:50M. Sikon2.63116461P. Kurek1.4451111113LSep 10 · 08:10M. Sikon3.75118951K. Slawinski1.2531111113LSep 10 · 05:50P. Kurek1.44981111113M. Sikon2.6311119882LSep 10 · 04:40M. Sikon3.25411741W. Urban1.3311711113WSep 10 · 03:40M. Sikon3.5081211113L. Oracz1.281110891WSep 9 · 08:00J. Kaczmarek1.831111981M. Sikon1.8391311113LSep 9 · 07:10M. Lebek1.7051111113M. Sikon2.00115491WSep 9 · 06:25M. Sikon2.171111113O. Sokolowski1.567980
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