TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13102880
Played Sep 10Finished
Pawel Kurek
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811611113511––
Kacper Slawinski
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:56 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeKacper Slawinski to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPawel Kurek above · Kacper Slawinski below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 66 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Kacper Slawinski at 59.3%
66 points played in total.
H2H Pawel Kurek 0–2 Kacper Slawinski Pawel Kurek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:56What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Slawinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kurek 1365 vs Slawinski 1533
Slawinski
Correct
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurek 40% vs Slawinski 80%
Slawinski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurek 50% vs Slawinski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurek -1 · Slawinski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Slawinski) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slawinski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurek 2.63 / Slawinski 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Slawinski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13102880
Kurek2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 119 of 306
Down 0–1, comes back23% 40 of 176
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 100
Slawinski1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 96 of 138
Up 2–0, closes it98% 45 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it82% 69 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKurek0wins
AwaySlawinski2wins
Slawinski leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKurekSlawinskiK − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match28.035.0−7.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurekSlawinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime390 / 778 vs 617 / 99250.1%62.2%390 / 778 vs 617 / 992Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawinskiKurek 2.63/Slawinski 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Slawinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Slawinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 10 · 03:00P. Kurek—861151K. Slawinski—11113113
LAug 12 · 10:10P. Kurek—71090K. Slawinski—1112113
P. Kurek10
LSep 9 · 14:20P. Kurek2.38711261P. Gumulinski1.5311311113WSep 9 · 12:40P. Przewlocki2.1011611992P. Kurek1.67911511113LSep 9 · 11:50O. Vincenec1.831111104113P. Kurek1.8369121192WSep 9 · 11:00P. Kurek1.4411117113K. Schaniel2.63861181LSep 9 · 09:50P. Kurek2.10117861R. Gajda1.6761111113WSep 9 · 08:10P. Kurek2.50117911123P. Gumulinski1.50811119102LSep 9 · 06:30P. Przewlocki2.1071112163P. Kurek1.6711710141WSep 9 · 05:40R. Gajda1.73531111112P. Kurek2.00111179133LSep 9 · 04:55P. Kurek1.445650K. Schaniel2.631111113WSep 9 · 03:50P. Kurek1.911111113O. Vincenec1.804850
K. Slawinski10
LSep 8 · 16:20K. Slawinski1.67111013151S. Szostok2.0041215173WSep 8 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.3611913113O. Vincenec2.755111181WSep 8 · 13:55K. Slawinski1.29981111113W. Buczynski3.1011113882WSep 8 · 12:45M. Baron2.609124101K. Slawinski1.42111011123WSep 8 · 11:55K. Slawinski1.7911911133J. Pruszkowski1.848118111LSep 8 · 10:20K. Slawinski1.36871171M. Baron2.7511118113LSep 8 · 09:05K. Slawinski1.3691181192O. Vincenec2.75116119113WSep 8 · 07:55K. Slawinski1.2911116113W. Buczynski3.10761141WSep 8 · 06:45S. Szostok2.05871161K. Slawinski1.6611118113LSep 8 · 05:55K. Slawinski1.83115116102J. Pruszkowski1.86711911123
Upcoming Matches
P. Kurek
Sep 10 · 05:50P. Kurek1.44M. Sikon2.63—Sep 10 · 06:55P. Kurek2.38L. Oracz1.53—Sep 10 · 08:35P. Kurek1.73W. Urban2.00—Sep 10 · 09:50P. Kurek1.44M. Sikon2.63—Sep 10 · 10:35P. Kurek2.55K. Slawinski1.41—Sep 10 · 12:15P. Kurek1.73W. Urban2.00—Sep 10 · 13:05P. Kurek2.38L. Oracz1.53—Sep 10 · 13:55P. Kurek1.53R. Idaczyk2.38—
K. Slawinski
Sep 10 · 04:20K. Slawinski1.73L. Oracz2.00—Sep 10 · 05:30K. Slawinski1.61R. Idaczyk2.20—Sep 10 · 07:20K. Slawinski1.44W. Urban2.63—Sep 10 · 08:10K. Slawinski1.25M. Sikon3.75—Sep 10 · 09:00K. Slawinski1.73L. Oracz2.00—Sep 10 · 10:35K. Slawinski1.41P. Kurek2.55—Sep 10 · 11:25K. Slawinski1.61R. Idaczyk2.20—Sep 10 · 13:30K. Slawinski1.44W. Urban2.63—Sep 10 · 14:20K. Slawinski1.25M. Sikon3.75—
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