TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13098562
Played Sep 9Finished
Oliver Vincenec
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161191012411119
Pawel Kurek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:20 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOliver Vincenec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOliver Vincenec above · Pawel Kurek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 94 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Oliver Vincenec at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Oliver Vincenec 9–7 Pawel Kurek Pawel Kurek has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:20What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kurek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-7 in 16
Vincenec
Correct
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vincenec 1403 vs Kurek 1382
Vincenec
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vincenec 60% vs Kurek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vincenec 60% vs Kurek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vincenec +2 · Kurek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kurek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVincenec 1.83 / Kurek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kurek)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13098562
Vincenec1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kurek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVincenec5wins
AwayKurek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVincenec75%3 of 4
AwayKurek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vincenec4Kurek6n = 10Kurek took 6 of 10
S2Vincenec4Kurek6n = 10Kurek took 6 of 10
S3Vincenec5Kurek5n = 10split evenly
S4Vincenec2Kurek4n = 6Kurek took 4 of 6
S5Vincenec3Kurek0n = 3Vincenec took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVincenecKurekV − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.536.5−2.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVincenecKurekBasisWin rate · lifetime654 / 1446 vs 389 / 77445.2%50.3%654 / 1446 vs 389 / 774Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurekVincenec 1.83/Kurek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 03:50O. Vincenec—4850P. Kurek—1111113
LSep 3 · 11:50O. Vincenec—1111751P. Kurek—61311113
WSep 3 · 03:50O. Vincenec—411116113P. Kurek—11841172
WAug 18 · 08:45O. Vincenec—115912113P. Kurek—911111042
WAug 10 · 09:00O. Vincenec—791111113P. Kurek—11118962
LAug 10 · 04:30O. Vincenec—8550P. Kurek—1111113
WJul 30 · 14:40O. Vincenec—1111113P. Kurek—9770
LJul 30 · 06:05O. Vincenec—311741P. Kurek—11411113
LJul 13 · 10:35O. Vincenec—81611101P. Kurek—11185123
WJul 13 · 03:00O. Vincenec—1111113P. Kurek—5880
O. Vincenec10
WSep 9 · 13:05O. Vincenec2.10711911133R. Gajda1.67118119112WSep 9 · 10:10O. Vincenec1.831161413113P. Przewlocki1.83911121562WSep 9 · 09:00O. Vincenec2.1012911113P. Gumulinski1.671011991LSep 9 · 07:45P. Przewlocki1.83311811193O. Vincenec1.83117116172WSep 9 · 06:55R. Gajda1.73711211102O. Vincenec2.00116118123LSep 9 · 06:05O. Vincenec1.914570K. Schaniel1.801111113WSep 9 · 04:30O. Vincenec2.101011211123P. Gumulinski1.67124115102LSep 9 · 03:50P. Kurek1.911111113O. Vincenec1.804850WSep 8 · 16:40O. Vincenec1.9571111113W. Buczynski1.70114561LSep 8 · 15:05K. Slawinski1.3611913113O. Vincenec2.755111181
P. Kurek10
WSep 9 · 12:40P. Przewlocki2.1011611992P. Kurek1.67911511113WSep 9 · 11:00P. Kurek1.4411117113K. Schaniel2.63861181LSep 9 · 09:50P. Kurek2.10117861R. Gajda1.6761111113WSep 9 · 08:10P. Kurek2.50117911123P. Gumulinski1.50811119102LSep 9 · 06:30P. Przewlocki2.1071112163P. Kurek1.6711710141WSep 9 · 05:40R. Gajda1.73531111112P. Kurek2.00111179133LSep 9 · 04:55P. Kurek1.445650K. Schaniel2.631111113WSep 9 · 03:50P. Kurek1.911111113O. Vincenec1.804850LSep 8 · 04:40G. Marud1.851111113P. Kurek1.856550WSep 8 · 03:55K. Adamus1.708670P. Kurek1.911111113
Upcoming Matches
O. Vincenec
P. Kurek
Sep 9 · 14:20P. Kurek2.38P. Gumulinski1.53—Sep 10 · 03:00P. Kurek2.63K. Slawinski1.44—Sep 10 · 04:00P. Kurek1.53R. Idaczyk2.38—Sep 10 · 05:50P. Kurek1.44M. Sikon2.63—Sep 10 · 06:55P. Kurek2.38L. Oracz1.53—Sep 10 · 08:35P. Kurek1.73W. Urban2.00—Sep 10 · 09:50P. Kurek1.44M. Sikon2.63—Sep 10 · 12:15P. Kurek1.73W. Urban2.00—Sep 10 · 13:05P. Kurek2.38L. Oracz1.53—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.