TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13110436
Played Sep 11Finished
Jaroslaw Badura
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
11612101311––––
Andrzej Szurgot
Away
3.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:04 and never touched — 78.3% is still 78.3%
Graded at full timeJaroslaw Badura to win
78.3%
78.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
63 points played in total.
Set by set
11612101311––––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:04What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (75%)
Badura
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Badura 1353 vs Szurgot 1117
Badura
Correct
both rated, 235 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Badura 40% vs Szurgot 20%
Badura
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Badura 40% vs Szurgot 20%
Badura
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Badura -1 · Szurgot +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Badura) · live re-read · sealed at 78% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Badura form (40%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBadura 1.22 / Szurgot 3.60
Signal prob.78% / 23%
Edge (Badura)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13110436
Badura1.22
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 76 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it97% 36 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it88% 56 of 64
Szurgot3.60
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog17% won 9 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back15% 6 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBaduraSzurgotBasisWin rate · lifetime303 / 566 vs 14 / 7153.5%19.7%303 / 566 vs 14 / 71Avg sets wonper match2.11.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.730.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
BaduraBadura 1.22/Szurgot 3.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.5%
Badura · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Badura won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Badura10
LSep 11 · 18:20J. Michalski3.1011117113J. Badura1.33471141WAug 31 · 04:40G. Marud1.70891291J. Badura2.00111110113LAug 31 · 03:55W. Urban1.7511811113J. Badura1.95511791LAug 31 · 01:55S. Szostok1.511112133J. Badura2.35810110WAug 31 · 01:10P. Adamus1.68913111142J. Badura2.081111134113WAug 30 · 23:30P. Polok1.561110991J. Badura2.2431211113WAug 30 · 22:40G. Marud1.853680J. Badura1.801111113LAug 30 · 21:55W. Urban1.8091113133J. Badura1.9011111111LAug 30 · 19:55S. Szostok1.47611119113J. Badura2.4511741172LAug 30 · 19:10P. Polok1.631111113J. Badura2.092240
A. Szurgot10
WSep 11 · 17:30R. Wiza1.4081181172A. Szurgot2.65118116113LSep 6 · 04:40A. Szurgot4.802460P. Polok1.131111113LSep 6 · 03:05R. Szymik1.241111113A. Szurgot3.558580LSep 6 · 02:20L. Bernacki1.62911815113A. Szurgot2.17118111372LSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113WSep 6 · 24:20A. Szurgot2.61911811113R. Wiza1.4411711782LSep 5 · 22:40A. Szurgot4.503139111P. Polok1.17111111133LSep 5 · 21:05R. Szymik1.521111113A. Szurgot2.307460LSep 5 · 20:20R. Wiza1.591111113A. Szurgot2.186680LSep 5 · 19:30A. Szurgot2.203590R. Adach1.571111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Badura
Sep 11 · 20:45J. Badura1.80J. Orszulik1.86—Sep 11 · 21:30J. Badura1.51R. Wiza2.29—Sep 11 · 22:20J. Badura2.17R. Szymik1.57—Sep 11 · 23:30J. Badura1.22A. Szurgot3.60—Sep 12 · 24:45J. Badura2.24R. Szymik1.53—Sep 12 · 02:20J. Badura1.32J. Michalski2.90—Sep 12 · 03:30J. Badura1.54R. Wiza2.21—Sep 12 · 05:05J. Badura1.78J. Orszulik1.85—
A. Szurgot
Sep 11 · 19:55A. Szurgot4.55R. Szymik1.14—Sep 11 · 21:55A. Szurgot3.40J. Orszulik1.24—Sep 11 · 22:40A. Szurgot2.10J. Michalski1.60—Sep 11 · 23:30A. Szurgot3.60J. Badura1.22—Sep 12 · 01:10A. Szurgot2.75R. Wiza1.35—Sep 12 · 01:55A. Szurgot4.55R. Szymik1.14—Sep 12 · 03:55A. Szurgot3.40J. Orszulik1.24—Sep 12 · 04:40A. Szurgot2.11J. Michalski1.60—Sep 12 · 18:20A. Szurgot—P. Gasiorski——Sep 12 · 19:30A. Szurgot—K. Schaniel——
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