TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13115891
Played Sep 12Finished
Jan Orszulik
Home
1.24
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811115111115––
Andrzej Szurgot
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:18 and never touched — 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timeJan Orszulik to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
63 points played in total.
Set by set
811115111115––
H2H Jan Orszulik 1–0 Andrzej Szurgot Andrzej Szurgot has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Orszulik beat Szurgot 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:18What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.24 (73%)
Orszulik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Orszulik 1362 vs Szurgot 1112
Orszulik
Correct
both rated, 250 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Orszulik 80% vs Szurgot 20%
Orszulik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Orszulik 50% vs Szurgot 20%
Orszulik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Orszulik -1 · Szurgot -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Orszulik) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOrszulik 1.24 / Szurgot 3.40
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Orszulik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13115891
Orszulik1.24
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 37 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it81% 34 of 42
Szurgot3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog17% won 9 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back15% 6 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOrszulik1wins
AwaySzurgot0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderOrszulik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricOrszulikSzurgotO − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match53.047.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOrszulikSzurgotBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 239 vs 15 / 7846%19.2%110 / 239 vs 15 / 78Avg sets wonper match1.91.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.630.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OrszulikOrszulik 1.24/Szurgot 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.1%
Orszulik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Orszulik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 11 · 21:55J. Orszulik—1181110133A. Szurgot—411912112
J. Orszulik10
LSep 12 · 02:45R. Wiza2.20912513113J. Orszulik1.551110111132WSep 12 · 01:30J. Michalski2.9011670J. Orszulik1.321311113WSep 11 · 23:55R. Szymik1.855540J. Orszulik1.801111113WSep 11 · 23:05R. Wiza2.203860J. Orszulik1.551111113WSep 11 · 21:55J. Orszulik1.301181110133A. Szurgot3.20411912112LSep 11 · 20:45J. Badura1.881112113J. Orszulik1.8281060LSep 11 · 19:30J. Michalski2.9061611113J. Orszulik1.321114871LSep 11 · 17:55R. Szymik1.541111113J. Orszulik2.258880WAug 14 · 02:00J. Orszulik2.1513116143J. Pelka1.6011611121LAug 14 · 24:45J. Orszulik4.0575111172M. Tkocz1.19111169113
A. Szurgot10
LSep 12 · 04:40J. Michalski1.601211113A. Szurgot2.1110580LSep 12 · 01:55R. Szymik1.1651111113A. Szurgot4.40116791WSep 12 · 01:10R. Wiza1.3511115642A. Szurgot2.75731111113LSep 11 · 23:30J. Badura1.277121211113A. Szurgot3.25111014752LSep 11 · 22:40J. Michalski1.751111113A. Szurgot1.956660LSep 11 · 21:55J. Orszulik1.301181110133A. Szurgot3.20411912112LSep 11 · 19:55R. Szymik1.141211113A. Szurgot4.5510420LSep 11 · 19:10J. Badura1.221112133A. Szurgot3.60610110WSep 11 · 17:30R. Wiza1.4081181172A. Szurgot2.65118116113LSep 6 · 04:40A. Szurgot4.802460P. Polok1.131111113
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