TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114776
Played Sep 11Finished
Robert Szymik
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511511411––––
Jan Orszulik
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:13 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeRobert Szymik to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
47 points played in total.
Set by set
511511411––––
H2H Robert Szymik 3–2 Jan Orszulik Jan Orszulik has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Szymik beat Orszulik 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Orszulik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymik 1419 vs Orszulik 1354
Szymik
Wrong
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymik 80% vs Orszulik 40%
Szymik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymik 80% vs Orszulik 40%
Szymik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymik -1 · Orszulik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Szymik) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Orszulik form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymik 1.85 / Orszulik 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Szymik)+4.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13114776
Szymik1.85
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog38% won 28 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back15% 6 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Orszulik1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 37 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it81% 34 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSzymik3wins
AwayOrszulik2wins
2 of 5 to a deciderSzymik leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayOrszulik66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymik2Orszulik3n = 5Orszulik took 3 of 5
S2Szymik2Orszulik3n = 5Orszulik took 3 of 5
S3Szymik2Orszulik3n = 5Orszulik took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away240%
These 5 meetings
MetricSzymikOrszulikS − OBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match34.234.4−0.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymikOrszulikBasisWin rate · lifetime610 / 935 vs 108 / 23665.2%45.8%610 / 935 vs 108 / 236Avg sets wonper match2.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymikSzymik 1.85/Orszulik 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Szymik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Orszulik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 11 · 17:55R. Szymik—1111113J. Orszulik—8880
LAug 8 · 03:05R. Szymik—5670J. Orszulik—1111113
WAug 7 · 21:05R. Szymik—881111113J. Orszulik—11114192
WApr 18 · 01:55R. Szymik—1112125113J. Orszulik—610141152
LApr 17 · 19:55R. Szymik—4790J. Orszulik—1111113
R. Szymik10
LSep 12 · 24:45J. Badura1.62115311113R. Szymik2.1761111582LSep 11 · 22:20R. Szymik1.651177131J. Badura2.1051111153WSep 11 · 21:05R. Szymik1.211111113J. Michalski3.705740WSep 11 · 19:55R. Szymik1.141211113A. Szurgot4.5510420WSep 11 · 18:45R. Wiza2.854111031R. Szymik1.3311612113WSep 11 · 17:55R. Szymik1.541111113J. Orszulik2.258880WSep 6 · 04:20R. Szymik1.191111113R. Wiza4.058880WSep 6 · 03:05R. Szymik1.241111113A. Szurgot3.558580LSep 6 · 01:55R. Szymik1.689111381P. Polok2.0711615113WSep 6 · 24:45L. Bernacki2.059640R. Szymik1.701111113
J. Orszulik10
WSep 11 · 23:05R. Wiza2.203860J. Orszulik1.551111113WSep 11 · 21:55J. Orszulik1.301181110133A. Szurgot3.20411912112LSep 11 · 20:45J. Badura1.881112113J. Orszulik1.8281060LSep 11 · 19:30J. Michalski2.9061611113J. Orszulik1.321114871LSep 11 · 17:55R. Szymik1.541111113J. Orszulik2.258880WAug 14 · 02:00J. Orszulik2.1513116143J. Pelka1.6011611121LAug 14 · 24:45J. Orszulik4.0575111172M. Tkocz1.19111169113LAug 13 · 23:35J. Orszulik2.4591111732P. Gumulinski1.47119911113LAug 13 · 22:25M. Lebek1.8311611113J. Orszulik1.86711641WAug 13 · 21:35J. Orszulik1.7611118113A. Szydlo1.90371151
Upcoming Matches
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J. Orszulik
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