TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114350
Played Sep 11Finished
Robert Szymik
Home
1.65
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1157117111315––
Jaroslaw Badura
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRobert Szymik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
1157117111315––
H2H Robert Szymik 4–4 Jaroslaw Badura Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:23What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Szymik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymik 1435 vs Badura 1356
Szymik
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymik 100% vs Badura 60%
Szymik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymik 90% vs Badura 60%
Szymik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymik +5 · Badura -1
Szymik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Szymik) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Badura form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymik 1.65 / Badura 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Szymik)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13114350
Szymik1.65
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite69% won 275 of 396
Up 2–0, closes it95% 160 of 168
Up 1–0, closes it84% 210 of 250
Badura2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 53 of 122
Down 0–1, comes back24% 16 of 68
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSzymik4wins
AwayBadura4wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymik66.7%4 of 6
AwayBaduran = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymik6Badura2n = 8Szymik took 6 of 8
S2Szymik5Badura3n = 8Szymik took 5 of 8
S3Szymik5Badura3n = 8Szymik took 5 of 8
S4Szymik2Badura3n = 5Badura took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home338%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricSzymikBaduraS − BBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set62+4of 8Avg pointsper match38.634.0+4.6per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymikBaduraBasisWin rate · lifetime610 / 934 vs 304 / 56765.3%53.6%610 / 934 vs 304 / 567Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymikSzymik 1.65/Badura 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.8%
Szymik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Badura won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 20 · 03:05R. Szymik—1177101J. Badura—81111123
WSep 19 · 21:05R. Szymik—11129113J. Badura—3101191
WAug 30 · 05:05R. Szymik—1111113J. Badura—6360
LAug 29 · 20:45R. Szymik—71281282J. Badura—11101110113
WAug 2 · 23:30R. Szymik—1111113J. Badura—5240
LAug 2 · 19:10R. Szymik—14811672J. Badura—1211611113
LAug 1 · 23:30R. Szymik—8101191J. Badura—11128113
WAug 1 · 19:10R. Szymik—1211113J. Badura—10870
R. Szymik10
WSep 11 · 21:05R. Szymik1.211111113J. Michalski3.705740WSep 11 · 19:55R. Szymik1.141211113A. Szurgot4.5510420WSep 11 · 18:45R. Wiza2.854111031R. Szymik1.3311612113WSep 11 · 17:55R. Szymik1.541111113J. Orszulik2.258880WSep 6 · 04:20R. Szymik1.191111113R. Wiza4.058880WSep 6 · 03:05R. Szymik1.241111113A. Szurgot3.558580LSep 6 · 01:55R. Szymik1.689111381P. Polok2.0711615113WSep 6 · 24:45L. Bernacki2.059640R. Szymik1.701111113WSep 5 · 23:55R. Szymik1.231110118113R. Adach3.6581271162WSep 5 · 22:20R. Szymik1.805151014113L. Bernacki1.851113121292
J. Badura10
LSep 11 · 21:30R. Wiza2.2911115113J. Badura1.51361171WSep 11 · 20:45J. Badura1.881112113J. Orszulik1.8281060WSep 11 · 19:10J. Badura1.221112133A. Szurgot3.60610110LSep 11 · 18:20J. Michalski3.1011117113J. Badura1.33471141WAug 31 · 04:40G. Marud1.70891291J. Badura2.00111110113LAug 31 · 03:55W. Urban1.7511811113J. Badura1.95511791LAug 31 · 01:55S. Szostok1.511112133J. Badura2.35810110WAug 31 · 01:10P. Adamus1.68913111142J. Badura2.081111134113WAug 30 · 23:30P. Polok1.561110991J. Badura2.2431211113WAug 30 · 22:40G. Marud1.853680J. Badura1.801111113
Upcoming Matches
R. Szymik2 of 10 neutral
Sep 11 · 23:55R. Szymik1.52J. Orszulik2.25—Sep 12 · 24:45R. Szymik1.53J. Badura2.24—Sep 12 · 01:55R. Szymik1.14A. Szurgot4.55—Sep 12 · 03:05R. Szymik1.21J. Michalski3.70—Sep 12 · 04:20R. Szymik1.36R. Wiza2.75—Sep 12 · 17:55R. Szymik—K. Schaniel——Sep 12 · 19:55R. Szymik—G. Sawicki——Sep 12 · 23:55R. Szymik—K. Schaniel——Sep 13 · 24:45R. Szymik—O. Sokolowski——Sep 13 · 01:55R. Szymik—G. Sawicki——
J. Badura
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