TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13110434
Played Sep 11Finished
Jan Orszulik
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11481111910121311
Andrzej Szurgot
Away
3.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:03 and never touched — 77.0% is still 77.0%
Graded at full timeJan Orszulik to win
77.0%
77.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
11481111910121311
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:03What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (71%)
Orszulik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Orszulik 1339 vs Szurgot 1105
Orszulik
Correct
both rated, 234 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Orszulik 20% vs Szurgot 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Orszulik 30% vs Szurgot 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Orszulik -3 · Szurgot -2
Orszulik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Orszulik) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szurgot form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOrszulik 1.30 / Szurgot 3.20
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Orszulik)-0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13110434
Orszulik1.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 37 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it81% 34 of 42
Szurgot3.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog17% won 9 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back15% 6 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOrszulikSzurgotBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 234 vs 14 / 7345.3%19.2%106 / 234 vs 14 / 73Avg sets wonper match1.91.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.530.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
OrszulikOrszulik 1.30/Szurgot 3.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.1%
Orszulik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Orszulik won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Orszulik10
LSep 11 · 20:45J. Badura1.881112113J. Orszulik1.8281060LSep 11 · 19:30J. Michalski2.9061611113J. Orszulik1.321114871LSep 11 · 17:55R. Szymik1.541111113J. Orszulik2.258880WAug 14 · 02:00J. Orszulik2.1513116143J. Pelka1.6011611121LAug 14 · 24:45J. Orszulik4.0575111172M. Tkocz1.19111169113LAug 13 · 23:35J. Orszulik2.4591111732P. Gumulinski1.47119911113LAug 13 · 22:25M. Lebek1.8311611113J. Orszulik1.86711641WAug 13 · 21:35J. Orszulik1.7611118113A. Szydlo1.90371151LAug 13 · 20:00J. Orszulik3.854760P. Gasiorski1.211111113WAug 13 · 18:45J. Orszulik3.2111111110113M. Tkocz1.2513881272
A. Szurgot10
LSep 11 · 19:55R. Szymik1.141211113A. Szurgot4.5510420LSep 11 · 19:10J. Badura1.221112133A. Szurgot3.60610110WSep 11 · 17:30R. Wiza1.4081181172A. Szurgot2.65118116113LSep 6 · 04:40A. Szurgot4.802460P. Polok1.131111113LSep 6 · 03:05R. Szymik1.241111113A. Szurgot3.558580LSep 6 · 02:20L. Bernacki1.62911815113A. Szurgot2.17118111372LSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113WSep 6 · 24:20A. Szurgot2.61911811113R. Wiza1.4411711782LSep 5 · 22:40A. Szurgot4.503139111P. Polok1.17111111133LSep 5 · 21:05R. Szymik1.521111113A. Szurgot2.307460
Upcoming Matches
J. Orszulik
A. Szurgot
Sep 11 · 22:40A. Szurgot1.95J. Michalski1.75—Sep 11 · 23:30A. Szurgot3.60J. Badura1.22—Sep 12 · 01:10A. Szurgot2.75R. Wiza1.35—Sep 12 · 01:55A. Szurgot4.55R. Szymik1.14—Sep 12 · 03:55A. Szurgot3.40J. Orszulik1.24—Sep 12 · 04:40A. Szurgot2.11J. Michalski1.60—Sep 12 · 18:20A. Szurgot—P. Gasiorski——Sep 12 · 19:30A. Szurgot—K. Schaniel——Sep 12 · 22:40A. Szurgot—G. Sawicki——Sep 13 · 01:30A. Szurgot—K. Schaniel——
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