TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114783
Played Sep 11Finished
Roman Wiza
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311811611––––
Jan Orszulik
Away
1.55
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:16 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeJan Orszulik to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
311811611––––
H2H Roman Wiza 4–4 Jan Orszulik Dead even across their 8 meetings.
Last 8 · 4–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:16What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (59%)
Orszulik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-4 in 8
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wiza 1258 vs Orszulik 1343
Orszulik
Correct
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wiza 40% vs Orszulik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wiza 30% vs Orszulik 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wiza +2 · Orszulik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Orszulik) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Orszulik form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiza 2.20 / Orszulik 1.55
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Orszulik)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13114783
Wiza2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 84 of 218
Down 0–1, comes back16% 19 of 116
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 71
Orszulik1.55
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 37 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it90% 26 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it81% 34 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeWiza4wins
AwayOrszulik4wins
3 of 8 to a deciderLevel at 4–4, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWiza50%2 of 4
AwayOrszulik50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wiza4Orszulik4n = 8split evenly
S2Wiza3Orszulik5n = 8Orszulik took 5 of 8
S3Wiza4Orszulik4n = 8split evenly
S4Wiza3Orszulik4n = 7Orszulik took 4 of 7
S5Wiza2Orszulik1n = 3Wiza took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricWizaOrszulikW − OBasisWins440in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match38.440.4−2.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWizaOrszulikBasisWin rate · lifetime397 / 938 vs 107 / 23542.3%45.5%397 / 938 vs 107 / 235Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.335.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OrszulikWiza 2.20/Orszulik 1.55
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Orszulik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Orszulik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LAug 8 · 24:20R. Wiza143560J. Orszulik331111113
LAug 7 · 20:20R. Wiza381261191J. Orszulik3714111113
LJul 11 · 01:10R. Wiza46121161162J. Orszulik521013117113
WJul 10 · 17:30R. Wiza4211119113J. Orszulik36971191
WApr 18 · 01:10R. Wiza3961111113J. Orszulik33117871
WApr 17 · 17:30R. Wiza541191211113J. Orszulik51811101392
WMar 13 · 09:45R. Wiza53913119113J. Orszulik42111131162
LMar 13 · 02:35R. Wiza21115321J. Orszulik3961111113
R. Wiza10
WSep 13 · 01:10R. Wiza1.771691110113G. Sawicki1.87141161262WSep 13 · 24:20A. Szurgot3.005890R. Wiza1.301111113LSep 12 · 23:05R. Wiza2.5011911352K. Schaniel1.46611611113LSep 12 · 21:30R. Wiza5.35812111172P. Gasiorski1.10111448113WSep 12 · 20:20R. Wiza1.331113113A. Szurgot2.9071170WSep 12 · 18:45R. Wiza2.8081111113R. Szymik1.36115881WSep 12 · 17:30R. Wiza1.80111211113G. Sawicki1.90314561WSep 12 · 04:20R. Szymik1.3614712772R. Wiza2.7512111011113WSep 12 · 03:30J. Badura1.92911661R. Wiza1.8011811113WSep 12 · 02:45R. Wiza2.20912513113J. Orszulik1.551110111132
J. Orszulik10
WSep 12 · 05:05J. Badura1.783350J. Orszulik1.851111113WSep 12 · 03:55J. Orszulik1.2481111113A. Szurgot3.40115151LSep 12 · 02:45R. Wiza2.20912513113J. Orszulik1.551110111132WSep 12 · 01:30J. Michalski2.9011670J. Orszulik1.321311113WSep 11 · 23:55R. Szymik1.855540J. Orszulik1.801111113WSep 11 · 21:55J. Orszulik1.301181110133A. Szurgot3.20411912112LSep 11 · 20:45J. Badura1.881112113J. Orszulik1.8281060LSep 11 · 19:30J. Michalski2.9061611113J. Orszulik1.321114871LSep 11 · 17:55R. Szymik1.541111113J. Orszulik2.258880WAug 14 · 02:00J. Orszulik2.1513116143J. Pelka1.6011611121
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