TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13115692
Played Sep 12Finished
Roman Wiza
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116911116311511
Krzysztof Schaniel
Away
1.46
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:04 and never touched — 60.2% is still 60.2%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Schaniel to win
60.2%
60.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
116911116311511
H2H Roman Wiza 5–13 Krzysztof Schaniel Roman Wiza has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:04What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (63%)
Schaniel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-13 in 18
Schaniel
Correct
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wiza 1305 vs Schaniel 1443
Schaniel
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wiza 80% vs Schaniel 60%
Wiza
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wiza 70% vs Schaniel 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wiza -1 · Schaniel +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Schaniel) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wiza form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiza 2.50 / Schaniel 1.46
Signal prob.35% / 66%
Edge (Schaniel)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13115692
Wiza2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 86 of 222
Down 0–1, comes back17% 20 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 72
Schaniel1.46
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 216 of 364
Up 2–0, closes it91% 105 of 116
Up 1–0, closes it78% 162 of 208
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWiza3wins
AwaySchaniel7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSchaniel leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWizan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySchaniel75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wiza2Schaniel8n = 10Schaniel took 8 of 10
S2Wiza4Schaniel6n = 10Schaniel took 6 of 10
S3Wiza3Schaniel7n = 10Schaniel took 7 of 10
S4Wiza1Schaniel3n = 4Schaniel took 3 of 4
S5Wiza2Schaniel1n = 3Wiza took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricWizaSchanielW − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match30.337.0−6.7per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWizaSchanielBasisWin rate · lifetime404 / 945 vs 872 / 174842.8%49.9%404 / 945 vs 872 / 1748Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.339.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchanielWiza 2.50/Schaniel 1.46
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.5%
Schaniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Schaniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 1 · 02:45R. Wiza47911411123K. Schaniel46116118102
LJul 31 · 23:05R. Wiza357511121K. Schaniel4011114143
LMar 29 · 01:00R. Wiza2710890K. Schaniel341211113
LMar 28 · 20:30R. Wiza216870K. Schaniel331111113
LMar 1 · 05:20R. Wiza187290K. Schaniel331111113
LFeb 28 · 19:45R. Wiza173680K. Schaniel331111113
WOct 25 · 23:55R. Wiza48811117113K. Schaniel4211781152
LOct 25 · 17:55R. Wiza3711118522K. Schaniel51991111113
LSep 6 · 03:05R. Wiza2081020K. Schaniel341112113
WSep 5 · 21:05R. Wiza331111113K. Schaniel249780
R. Wiza10
LSep 12 · 21:30R. Wiza5.35812111172P. Gasiorski1.10111448113WSep 12 · 20:20R. Wiza1.331113113A. Szurgot2.9071170WSep 12 · 18:45R. Wiza2.8081111113R. Szymik1.36115881WSep 12 · 17:30R. Wiza1.80111211113G. Sawicki1.90314561WSep 12 · 04:20R. Szymik1.3614712772R. Wiza2.7512111011113WSep 12 · 03:30J. Badura1.92911661R. Wiza1.8011811113WSep 12 · 02:45R. Wiza2.20912513113J. Orszulik1.551110111132LSep 12 · 01:10R. Wiza1.3511115642A. Szurgot2.75731111113WSep 12 · 24:20J. Michalski2.376810R. Wiza1.481111113LSep 11 · 23:05R. Wiza2.203860J. Orszulik1.551111113
K. Schaniel10
WSep 12 · 21:55K. Schaniel1.571211113G. Sawicki2.2010780LSep 12 · 20:45P. Gasiorski1.25118115113K. Schaniel3.5571171142WSep 12 · 19:30A. Szurgot4.20811441K. Schaniel1.1611611113LSep 12 · 17:55R. Szymik1.82111116113K. Schaniel1.8811961192WSep 12 · 01:45S. Krupa1.91781151K. Schaniel1.8011119113WSep 12 · 01:00G. Sawicki2.6381260K. Schaniel1.441114113LSep 12 · 24:10K. Schaniel1.67811311102O. Vincenec2.10118116123WSep 11 · 22:35K. Schaniel2.25114911113L. Oracz1.5771111682LSep 11 · 21:45A. Ruszkiewicz2.0011118123K. Schaniel1.733711101WSep 11 · 20:30K. Schaniel1.73117915113O. Vincenec2.00811111372
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