TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114661
Played Sep 12Finished
Grzegorz Sawicki
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111214611––––
Krzysztof Schaniel
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:52 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Schaniel to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Sawicki above · Krzysztof Schaniel below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 62 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Krzysztof Schaniel at 65.3%
62 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Sawicki 7–8 Krzysztof Schaniel Grzegorz Sawicki has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:52What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Schaniel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-8 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sawicki 1249 vs Schaniel 1435
Schaniel
Correct
both rated, 186 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sawicki 20% vs Schaniel 60%
Schaniel
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sawicki 30% vs Schaniel 50%
Schaniel
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sawicki +1 · Schaniel -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Schaniel) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sawicki form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSawicki 2.63 / Schaniel 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Schaniel)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13114661
Sawicki2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 126 of 381
Down 0–1, comes back19% 48 of 252
Down 0–2, comes back7% 12 of 162
Schaniel1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 213 of 361
Up 2–0, closes it90% 102 of 114
Up 1–0, closes it77% 160 of 208
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSawicki5wins
AwaySchaniel5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSawicki80%4 of 5
AwaySchaniel80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sawicki5Schaniel5n = 10split evenly
S2Sawicki2Schaniel8n = 10Schaniel took 8 of 10
S3Sawicki4Schaniel6n = 10Schaniel took 6 of 10
S4Sawicki6Schaniel2n = 8Sawicki took 6 of 8
S5Sawicki4Schaniel3n = 7Sawicki took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSawickiSchanielSawicki − SchanielBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.744.8−5.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSawickiSchanielBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 893 vs 869 / 174439.6%49.8%354 / 893 vs 869 / 1744Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchanielSawicki 2.63/Schaniel 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Schaniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Schaniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 4 · 07:20G. Sawicki—8580K. Schaniel—1111113
LJun 21 · 02:20G. Sawicki—6670K. Schaniel—1111113
WJun 20 · 18:20G. Sawicki—1111113113K. Schaniel—71391172
WJan 26 · 02:10G. Sawicki—111110113K. Schaniel—981291
LJan 25 · 20:10G. Sawicki—531112152K. Schaniel—1111910173
WOct 26 · 04:55G. Sawicki—114115113K. Schaniel—61171152
WOct 25 · 21:55G. Sawicki—211911113K. Schaniel—11911972
LMay 1 · 13:10G. Sawicki—114111172K. Schaniel—811139113
LMay 1 · 05:30G. Sawicki—84121172K. Schaniel—1111109113
WApr 21 · 03:55G. Sawicki—1151012113K. Schaniel—611121092
G. Sawicki10
WSep 11 · 23:45G. Sawicki2.00113118123A. Ruszkiewicz1.73611811102LSep 11 · 22:10G. Sawicki2.7511118101S. Krupa1.4081311123LSep 11 · 21:00G. Sawicki3.0013770L. Oracz1.361511113LSep 6 · 20:00G. Sawicki4.508960K. Juszczyk1.151111113LSep 6 · 18:45G. Sawicki1.605119131R. Ogon2.1011411153LSep 6 · 17:35G. Sawicki2.60531361S. Krupa1.41111111113WSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113WSep 6 · 15:35G. Sawicki2.001111125133W. Jozala1.71781411112LSep 6 · 08:00G. Sawicki1.8511911362R. Idaczyk1.80911911113LSep 6 · 06:45G. Sawicki2.75116471K. Juszczyk1.3781111113
K. Schaniel10
WSep 12 · 01:45S. Krupa1.91781151K. Schaniel1.8011119113LSep 12 · 24:10K. Schaniel1.67811311102O. Vincenec2.10118116123WSep 11 · 22:35K. Schaniel2.25114911113L. Oracz1.5771111682LSep 11 · 21:45A. Ruszkiewicz2.0011118123K. Schaniel1.733711101WSep 11 · 20:30K. Schaniel1.73117915113O. Vincenec2.00811111372WSep 11 · 18:55K. Schaniel1.8011117113O. Sokolowski1.91791191WSep 11 · 17:45K. Schaniel1.73612116113A. Ruszkiewicz2.00111091172LSep 11 · 16:15K. Schaniel1.80761121S. Krupa1.9111114113WSep 11 · 15:00K. Schaniel2.3811118113L. Oracz1.53641171LSep 9 · 14:40O. Vincenec1.911561011113K. Schaniel1.80131112762
Upcoming Matches
G. Sawicki
Sep 12 · 02:35G. Sawicki2.10O. Vincenec1.67—Sep 12 · 03:50G. Sawicki3.75A. Cichocki1.25—Sep 12 · 04:30G. Sawicki2.50M. Paszkiewicz1.50—Sep 12 · 06:05G. Sawicki3.00Z. Sobkow1.36—Sep 12 · 06:55G. Sawicki3.75P. Slosarczyk1.25—Sep 12 · 07:45G. Sawicki3.25K. Juszczyk1.33—Sep 12 · 17:30G. Sawicki—R. Wiza——Sep 12 · 19:10G. Sawicki—P. Gasiorski——Sep 12 · 19:55G. Sawicki—R. Szymik——Sep 12 · 21:55G. Sawicki—K. Schaniel——
K. Schaniel2 of 10 neutral
Sep 12 · 17:55K. Schaniel—R. Szymik——Sep 12 · 19:30K. Schaniel—A. Szurgot——Sep 12 · 20:45K. Schaniel—P. Gasiorski——Sep 12 · 21:55K. Schaniel—G. Sawicki——Sep 12 · 23:05K. Schaniel—R. Wiza——Sep 12 · 23:55K. Schaniel—R. Szymik——Sep 13 · 01:30K. Schaniel—A. Szurgot——Sep 13 · 02:45K. Schaniel—R. Wiza——Sep 13 · 03:55K. Schaniel—G. Sawicki——Sep 13 · 05:05K. Schaniel—O. Sokolowski——
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