TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13114777
Played Sep 11Finished
Grzegorz Sawicki
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1163111188111210
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Sawicki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingGrzegorz Sawicki above · Adam Ruszkiewicz below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 91 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Grzegorz Sawicki at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Grzegorz Sawicki 1–0 Adam Ruszkiewicz Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:13What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sawicki 1231 vs Ruszkiewicz 1434
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
both rated, 203 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sawicki 0% vs Ruszkiewicz 80%
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sawicki 30% vs Ruszkiewicz 80%
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sawicki -5 · Ruszkiewicz +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Ruszkiewicz) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruszkiewicz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSawicki 2.00 / Ruszkiewicz 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Ruszkiewicz)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13114777
Sawicki2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 126 of 381
Down 0–1, comes back19% 48 of 252
Down 0–2, comes back7% 12 of 162
Ruszkiewicz1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 54 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it74% 43 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSawicki1wins
AwayRuszkiewicz0wins
Sawicki leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSawickiRuszkiewiczS − RBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match37.029.0+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSawickiRuszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 892 vs 316 / 86139.6%36.7%353 / 892 vs 316 / 861Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.935.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuszkiewiczSawicki 2.00/Ruszkiewicz 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Ruszkiewicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sawicki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 10 · 17:35G. Sawicki—1411123A. Ruszkiewicz—127100
G. Sawicki10
LSep 11 · 22:10G. Sawicki2.7511118101S. Krupa1.4081311123LSep 11 · 21:00G. Sawicki3.0013770L. Oracz1.361511113LSep 6 · 20:00G. Sawicki4.508960K. Juszczyk1.151111113LSep 6 · 18:45G. Sawicki1.605119131R. Ogon2.1011411153LSep 6 · 17:35G. Sawicki2.60531361S. Krupa1.41111111113WSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113WSep 6 · 15:35G. Sawicki2.001111125133W. Jozala1.71781411112LSep 6 · 08:00G. Sawicki1.8511911362R. Idaczyk1.80911911113LSep 6 · 06:45G. Sawicki2.75116471K. Juszczyk1.3781111113WSep 6 · 05:35G. Sawicki3.9511711113K. Hetnar1.20711861
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 12 · 24:35S. Krupa1.5391113113A. Ruszkiewicz2.381191151WSep 11 · 22:55A. Ruszkiewicz2.25111177113O. Vincenec1.5774111192WSep 11 · 21:45A. Ruszkiewicz2.0011118123K. Schaniel1.733711101WSep 11 · 20:05A. Ruszkiewicz2.50651111113L. Oracz1.5011118962WSep 11 · 18:30S. Krupa1.53761451A. Ruszkiewicz2.38111112113LSep 11 · 17:45K. Schaniel1.73612116113A. Ruszkiewicz2.00111091172WSep 11 · 16:55A. Ruszkiewicz2.2012119113O. Vincenec1.611081171WSep 11 · 15:50A. Ruszkiewicz2.501011911113O. Sokolowski1.5012911862WSep 9 · 20:45W. Pytlas1.4410860A. Ruszkiewicz2.501211113WSep 9 · 19:35A. Ruszkiewicz2.0911119113M. Baron1.61871171
Upcoming Matches
G. Sawicki
Sep 12 · 02:35G. Sawicki2.10O. Vincenec1.67—Sep 12 · 03:50G. Sawicki3.75A. Cichocki1.25—Sep 12 · 04:30G. Sawicki2.50M. Paszkiewicz1.50—Sep 12 · 06:05G. Sawicki3.00Z. Sobkow1.36—Sep 12 · 06:55G. Sawicki2.10P. Slosarczyk1.67—Sep 12 · 07:45G. Sawicki3.25K. Juszczyk1.33—Sep 12 · 17:30G. Sawicki—R. Wiza——Sep 12 · 19:10G. Sawicki—P. Gasiorski——Sep 12 · 19:55G. Sawicki—R. Szymik——Sep 12 · 21:55G. Sawicki—K. Schaniel——
A. Ruszkiewicz
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