TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13115689
Played Sep 13Finished
Roman Wiza
Home
2.45
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911211611––––
Krzysztof Schaniel
Away
1.47
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:03 and never touched — 60.2% is still 60.2%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Schaniel to win
60.2%
60.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
911211611––––
H2H Roman Wiza 5–14 Krzysztof Schaniel Roman Wiza has won 5 of their 19 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Schaniel beat Wiza 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:03What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Schaniel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-14 in 19
Schaniel
Correct
gap of 9 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wiza 1331 vs Schaniel 1413
Schaniel
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wiza 60% vs Schaniel 40%
Wiza
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wiza 80% vs Schaniel 50%
Wiza
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wiza +2 · Schaniel -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Schaniel) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schaniel form (40%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiza 2.45 / Schaniel 1.47
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Schaniel)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13115689
Wiza2.45
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 85 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 71
Schaniel1.47
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 198 of 335
Up 2–0, closes it90% 96 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it77% 149 of 193
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWiza2wins
AwaySchaniel8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSchaniel leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWizan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySchaniel75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wiza2Schaniel8n = 10Schaniel took 8 of 10
S2Wiza3Schaniel7n = 10Schaniel took 7 of 10
S3Wiza3Schaniel7n = 10Schaniel took 7 of 10
S4Wiza1Schaniel4n = 5Schaniel took 4 of 5
S5Wiza2Schaniel2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricWizaSchanielW − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match30.939.1−8.2per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWizaSchanielBasisWin rate · lifetime407 / 946 vs 873 / 175143%49.9%407 / 946 vs 873 / 1751Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchanielWiza 2.45/Schaniel 1.47
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.9%
Schaniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Schaniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 23:05R. Wiza3911911352K. Schaniel45611611113
WAug 1 · 02:45R. Wiza47911411123K. Schaniel46116118102
LJul 31 · 23:05R. Wiza357511121K. Schaniel4011114143
LMar 29 · 01:00R. Wiza2710890K. Schaniel341211113
LMar 28 · 20:30R. Wiza216870K. Schaniel331111113
LMar 1 · 05:20R. Wiza187290K. Schaniel331111113
LFeb 28 · 19:45R. Wiza173680K. Schaniel331111113
WOct 25 · 23:55R. Wiza48811117113K. Schaniel4211781152
LOct 25 · 17:55R. Wiza3711118522K. Schaniel51991111113
LSep 6 · 03:05R. Wiza2081020K. Schaniel341112113
R. Wiza10
WSep 13 · 04:20R. Szymik1.3711651172R. Wiza2.70911116113WSep 13 · 03:30O. Sokolowski2.0489100R. Wiza1.711111123WSep 13 · 01:10R. Wiza1.771691110113G. Sawicki1.87141161262WSep 13 · 24:20A. Szurgot3.005890R. Wiza1.301111113LSep 12 · 23:05R. Wiza2.5011911352K. Schaniel1.46611611113LSep 12 · 21:30R. Wiza5.35812111172P. Gasiorski1.10111448113WSep 12 · 20:20R. Wiza1.331113113A. Szurgot2.9071170WSep 12 · 18:45R. Wiza2.8081111113R. Szymik1.36115881WSep 12 · 17:30R. Wiza1.80111211113G. Sawicki1.90314561WSep 12 · 04:20R. Szymik1.3614712772R. Wiza2.7512111011113
K. Schaniel10
WSep 13 · 03:55K. Schaniel1.471111711113G. Sawicki2.5081311772LSep 13 · 01:30A. Szurgot4.2061114113K. Schaniel1.161161251LSep 12 · 23:55R. Szymik1.6591111113K. Schaniel2.02116981WSep 12 · 23:05R. Wiza2.5011911352K. Schaniel1.46611611113WSep 12 · 21:55K. Schaniel1.571211113G. Sawicki2.2010780LSep 12 · 20:45P. Gasiorski1.25118115113K. Schaniel3.5571171142WSep 12 · 19:30A. Szurgot4.20811441K. Schaniel1.1611611113LSep 12 · 17:55R. Szymik1.82111116113K. Schaniel1.8811961192WSep 12 · 01:45S. Krupa1.91781151K. Schaniel1.8011119113WSep 12 · 01:00G. Sawicki2.6381260K. Schaniel1.441114113
Upcoming Matches
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K. Schaniel
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