TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13119982
Played Sep 12Finished
Robert Szymik
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1194119111012––
Pawel Gasiorski
Away
1.27
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:18 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timePawel Gasiorski to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
1194119111012––
H2H Robert Szymik 0–2 Pawel Gasiorski Robert Szymik has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:18What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.27 (72%)
Gasiorski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Szymik 1395 vs Gasiorski 1613
Gasiorski
Correct
both rated, 217 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymik 60% vs Gasiorski 100%
Gasiorski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymik 50% vs Gasiorski 90%
Gasiorski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymik +2 · Gasiorski +5
Gasiorski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Gasiorski) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gasiorski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (79%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymik 3.25 / Gasiorski 1.27
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Gasiorski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13119982
Szymik3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 28 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back14% 6 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Gasiorski1.27
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite80% won 107 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it95% 52 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it84% 71 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSzymik0wins
AwayGasiorski2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderGasiorski leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSzymikGasiorskiS − GBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match33.040.5−7.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymikGasiorskiBasisWin rate · lifetime614 / 942 vs 206 / 25865.2%79.8%614 / 942 vs 206 / 258Avg sets wonper match2.32.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.941.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GasiorskiSzymik 3.25/Gasiorski 1.27
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.7%
Gasiorski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gasiorski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 4 · 22:20R. Szymik218850P. Gasiorski331111113
LApr 25 · 22:20R. Szymik4511991152P. Gasiorski48611119113
R. Szymik10
WSep 12 · 21:05R. Szymik1.121111113A. Szurgot4.753380WSep 12 · 19:55R. Szymik1.321211113G. Sawicki2.9510960LSep 12 · 18:45R. Wiza2.8081111113R. Szymik1.36115881WSep 12 · 17:55R. Szymik1.82111116113K. Schaniel1.8811961192LSep 12 · 04:20R. Szymik1.3614712772R. Wiza2.7512111011113WSep 12 · 03:05R. Szymik1.211111113J. Michalski3.706670WSep 12 · 01:55R. Szymik1.1651111113A. Szurgot4.40116791LSep 12 · 24:45J. Badura1.62115311113R. Szymik2.1761111582LSep 11 · 23:55R. Szymik1.855540J. Orszulik1.801111113LSep 11 · 22:20R. Szymik1.651177131J. Badura2.1051111153
P. Gasiorski10
WSep 12 · 21:30R. Wiza5.35812111172P. Gasiorski1.10111448113WSep 12 · 20:45P. Gasiorski1.25118115113K. Schaniel3.5571171142WSep 12 · 19:10P. Gasiorski1.091111113G. Sawicki5.455620WSep 12 · 18:20A. Szurgot8.00613941P. Gasiorski1.03111111113WSep 10 · 20:00M. Koczyba2.9589111172P. Gasiorski1.31111166113WSep 10 · 19:10P. Brozek2.8768111142P. Gasiorski1.37111197113WSep 10 · 18:25P. Gasiorski1.36129511113P. Zemla2.75101111772WSep 10 · 16:50P. Gasiorski1.3611117113M. Tkocz2.75371141LSep 10 · 16:00K. Durak2.80111176113P. Gasiorski1.3788111152WSep 4 · 22:20R. Szymik3.508850P. Gasiorski1.261111113
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