TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13115830
Played Sep 12Finished
Rafal Skotniczny
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911511711––––
Oliwier Sokolowski
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:55 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeRafal Skotniczny to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
911511711––––
H2H Rafal Skotniczny 1–0 Oliwier Sokolowski Oliwier Sokolowski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:55What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Skotniczny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skotniczny 1461 vs Sokolowski 1333
Skotniczny
Wrong
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skotniczny 40% vs Sokolowski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skotniczny 50% vs Sokolowski 30%
Skotniczny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skotniczny -1 · Sokolowski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skotniczny) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkotniczny 1.80 / Sokolowski 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skotniczny)+3.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13115830
Skotniczny1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 219 of 344
Up 2–0, closes it96% 115 of 120
Up 1–0, closes it82% 167 of 203
Sokolowski1.85
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 111 of 302
Down 0–1, comes back20% 37 of 184
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSkotniczny1wins
AwaySokolowski0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSkotniczny leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSkotnicznySokolowskiSkotniczny − SokolowskiBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match51.047.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkotnicznySokolowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime591 / 1021 vs 224 / 52857.9%42.4%591 / 1021 vs 224 / 528Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkotnicznySkotniczny 1.80/Sokolowski 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skotniczny · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 19 · 06:00R. Skotniczny—111199113O. Sokolowski—88111192
R. Skotniczny10
WSep 12 · 06:45O. Sokolowski3.105870R. Skotniczny1.331111113LSep 12 · 06:00W. Pytlas2.0591111113R. Skotniczny1.64115551LSep 12 · 04:00R. Skotniczny1.38413441P. Mecik2.65111111113WSep 11 · 17:05R. Skotniczny1.601111113P. Kurek2.109970LSep 11 · 15:30R. Skotniczny1.85711110S. Szostok1.801113133WSep 11 · 14:20R. Skotniczny1.4211511113P. Mecik2.60711941LSep 11 · 12:45R. Skotniczny1.8011311612J. Pruszkowski1.85811911113LSep 11 · 11:30R. Skotniczny1.921110101182G. Wichowski1.72912127113LSep 11 · 10:20J. Pruszkowski1.95513911133R. Skotniczny1.771111117112WSep 11 · 09:30S. Szostok1.866101131R. Skotniczny1.8011124113
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 12 · 07:35O. Sokolowski2.4612711652K. Adamus1.441011711113LSep 12 · 06:25P. Mecik2.0111118113O. Sokolowski1.66981191LSep 12 · 03:35O. Sokolowski2.251712113O. Sokolowski1.57151080WSep 11 · 19:40S. Krupa1.67121031362O. Sokolowski2.1010121111113LSep 11 · 18:55K. Schaniel1.8011117113O. Sokolowski1.91791191LSep 11 · 18:10O. Sokolowski1.91911871O. Vincenec1.8011911113WSep 11 · 16:35O. Sokolowski3.25911611113L. Oracz1.3311311792LSep 11 · 15:50A. Ruszkiewicz2.501011911113O. Sokolowski1.5012911862WSep 10 · 08:20P. Adamus2.0081111442O. Sokolowski1.70117811113LSep 10 · 07:35A. Burkacki2.0711911113O. Sokolowski1.62511791
Upcoming Matches
R. Skotniczny
O. Sokolowski2 of 6 neutral
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